Serie A · 2023

Bologna 2–1 Cagliari · Serie A

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bologna won 2–1.

Shots
167
Shots on target
71
Expected goals
2.320.47
Possession
72%28%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bologna beat Cagliari 2–1. Recorded in this match (Bologna – Cagliari): shots 16–7, shots on target 7–1, expected goals 2.32–0.47, possession 72%–28%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cagliari show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Cagliari's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14.3 shots/match ▲ShotsBologna · Cagliari9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBolognaCagliariBaseline
Shots14.3 shots/match9 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against10 shots/match14.7 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Bologna have recorded the higher season possession share.

55.7% ●PossessionBologna · Cagliari34.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 21.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBolognaCagliariBaseline
Possession55.7%34.7%52.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots7 shotsBologna 16 shots, Cagliari 7 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots1 shotBologna 7 shots, Cagliari 1 shot
  • Expected goals2.32 xG0.47 xGBologna 2.32 xG, Cagliari 0.47 xG
  • Possession72%28%Bologna 72%, Cagliari 28%
  • Corners5 corners2 cornersBologna 5 corners, Cagliari 2 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls13 foulsBologna 9 fouls, Cagliari 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Joshua Zirkzee · Bologna · 86′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMichel Aebischer · Bologna · 59′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJhon Lucumí · Bologna · 62′ · 0.02 xG · on targetZito Luvumbo · Cagliari · 64′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlessandro Deiola · Cagliari · 72′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJesper Karlsson · Bologna · 7′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDan Ndoye · Bologna · 63′ · 0.03 xG · on targetVictor Kristiansen · Bologna · 89′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLewis Ferguson · Bologna · 65′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlessandro Deiola · Cagliari · 76′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlessandro Di Pardo · Cagliari · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJhon Lucumí · Bologna · 14′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedStefan Posch · Bologna · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedZito Luvumbo · Cagliari · 56′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJoshua Zirkzee · Bologna · 30′ · 0.08 xG · on targetJoshua Zirkzee · Bologna · 14′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJhon Lucumí · Bologna · 51′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJoshua Zirkzee · Bologna · 59′ · 0.09 xG · goalIbrahim Sulemana · Cagliari · 79′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedZito Luvumbo · Cagliari · 22′ · 0.19 xG · goalJesper Karlsson · Bologna · 30′ · 0.32 xG · on targetGiovanni Fabbian · Bologna · 89′ · 0.62 xG · goalRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 75′ · 0.82 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Bologna: 16 shots, 7 on target, 2.39 xG. Cagliari: 7 shots, 1 on target, 0.49 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Joshua Zirkzee · Bologna · 59′Giovanni Fabbian · Bologna · 89′Zito Luvumbo · Cagliari · 22′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bologna 2.39 xG · Cagliari 0.49 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Bologna
0Draws
1Cagliari
Cagliari — Bologna · Serie A2–1
Bologna — Cagliari · Serie A2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bologna favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Cagliari in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bologna3 matchesCagliari3 matches
1 goal/match ▲Goals scored3/30.33 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/31.33 goals/match
1.29 xG/match ▲Expected goals3/30.51 xG/match
14.3 shots/match ▲Shots3/39 shots/match
5.33 shots/match ▲Shots on target3/31.67 shots/match
55.7% ●Possession3/334.7%
3.33 corners/match ●Corners3/33 corners/match
10.7 fouls/matchFouls3/311.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 2 Sept 2023, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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