Serie A · 2023Sat, 2 Sept 2023, 18:45 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Napoli

1–2Full-time recap

Lazio

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Napoli	Lazio
Shots	22 shots/match▲	6 shots/match
Shots on target	4 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Expected goals	1.29 xG/match▲	0.64 xG/match
Possession	61%●	39%
Corners	7 corners/match●	2 corners/match
Fouls	8 fouls/match	9 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Napoli: 22 shots, 4 on target, 1.27 xG. Lazio: 6 shots, 2 on target, 0.63 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Napoli 1.27 xG · Lazio 0.63 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Napoli's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Napoli show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Napoli's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

22 shots/match▲ShotsNapoli · Lazio10.7 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Napoli	Lazio	Baseline
Shots	22 shots/match	10.7 shots/match	12.5 shots/match
Shots against	5.33 shots/match	16.7 shots/match	13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

8.33 corners/match●CornersNapoli · Lazio6.33 corners/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Napoli	Lazio	Baseline
Corners	8.33 corners/match	6.33 corners/match	4.67 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

3Napoli

0Draws

1Lazio

3 Mar 2023Napoli — Lazio · Serie A0–1

3 Sept 2022Lazio — Napoli · Serie A1–2

27 Feb 2022Lazio — Napoli · Serie A1–2

28 Nov 2021Napoli — Lazio · Serie A4–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Napoli favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Lazio in 0 · 13 too close

2 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 3/31 goals/match

1 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 3/31.33 goals/match

2.11 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/31.23 xG/match

0.57 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/31.11 xG/match

22 shots/matchShotsseason · 3/310.7 shots/match

5.33 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 3/316.7 shots/match

5.67 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 3/32.67 shots/match

1.33 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 3/34.67 shots/match

60%●Possessionseason · 3/353.7%

8.33 corners/match●Cornersseason · 3/36.33 corners/match

3.33 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 3/34.33 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 3/311.3 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

33%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 3/30%

100%Scoring frequencyseason · 3/367%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Napoli95.8

Lazio54.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Napoli86.1

Lazio29.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Napoli90.3

Lazio34.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Napoli95.8

Lazio12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Napoli50

Lazio50

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Napoli95.8

Lazio62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Napoli80.2

Lazio39.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Napoli3 matchesLazio3 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored3/31 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/31.33 goals/match

2.11 xG/match▲Expected goals3/31.23 xG/match

22 shots/match▲Shots3/310.7 shots/match

5.67 shots/match▲Shots on target3/32.67 shots/match

60%●Possession3/353.7%

8.33 corners/match●Corners3/36.33 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.3 fouls/matchFouls3/311.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Napoli2 matchesLazio2 matches

—Goals scored2/2—

—Goals allowed2/2—

—Expected goals2/2—

—Shots2/2—

—Shots on target2/2—

—Possession2/2—

—Corners2/2—

—Cards0/0—

—Fouls2/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples3 / 3home / away teams

Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 2 Sept 2023, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4