PitchMath
Serie A · 2023Sun, 3 Sept 2023, 16:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
1–0Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricTorinoGenoa
Shots10 shots/match▲7 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match▲2 shots/match
Expected goals0.44 xG/match▲0.18 xG/match
Possession63%●37%
Corners4 corners/match●0 corners/match
Fouls13 fouls/match7 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Karol Linetty · Torino · 30′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMorten Frendrup · Genoa · 33′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKarol Linetty · Torino · 57′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedCaleb Ekuban · Genoa · 76′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAlbert Guðmundsson · Genoa · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSamuele Ricci · Torino · 45′ · 0.02 xG · on targetPerr Schuurs · Torino · 50′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRadu Drăguşin · Genoa · 72′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNikola Vlašić · Torino · 20′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMateo Retegui · Genoa · 40′ · 0.03 xG · on targetBerkan Kutlu · Genoa · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMorten Thorsby · Genoa · 63′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPietro Pellegri · Torino · 89′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDuván Zapata · Torino · 7′ · 0.06 xG · on targetRicardo Rodríguez · Torino · 55′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedNemanja Radonjić · Torino · 90′ · 0.06 xG · goalPietro Pellegri · Torino · 84′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Torino: 10 shots, 3 on target, 0.43 xG. Genoa: 7 shots, 2 on target, 0.17 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.250.50′HT90′Nemanja Radonjić · Torino · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Torino 0.43 xG · Genoa 0.17 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Genoa's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Torino have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Genoa show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Genoa's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.67 shots/match▲ShotsTorino · Genoa5.33 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricTorinoGenoaBaseline
Shots9.67 shots/match5.33 shots/match11.7 shots/match
Shots against10.7 shots/match11.7 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Torino have recorded the higher season possession share.

53.7%●PossessionTorino · Genoa33%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 20.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricTorinoGenoaBaseline
Possession53.7%33%51.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Torino
0Draws
1Genoa
Genoa — Torino · Serie A1–0
Torino — Genoa · Serie A3–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Torino favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Genoa in 0 · 13 too close

0.67 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 3/30.67 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 3/31.67 goals/match
0.63 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/30.32 xG/match
1.2 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/30.96 xG/match
9.67 shots/matchShotsseason · 3/35.33 shots/match
10.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 3/311.7 shots/match
2 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 3/32.33 shots/match
3.67 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 3/33.33 shots/match
53.7%●Possessionseason · 3/333%
4.33 corners/match●Cornersseason · 3/31.33 corners/match
1.67 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 3/37.67 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
12.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 3/312.3 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
67%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 3/333%
67%Scoring frequencyseason · 3/367%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Torino65
Genoa2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Torino20
Genoa12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Torino55
Genoa45.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Torino17.5
Genoa12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Torino60
Genoa60
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Torino47.5
Genoa2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Torino36.2
Genoa19.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Torino3 matchesGenoa3 matches
0.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/30.67 goals/match
1.33 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/31.67 goals/match
0.63 xG/match▲Expected goals3/30.32 xG/match
9.67 shots/match▲Shots3/35.33 shots/match
2 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲2.33 shots/match
53.7%●Possession3/333%
4.33 corners/match●Corners3/31.33 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
12.3 fouls/matchFouls3/312.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Torino2 matchesGenoa2 matches
—Goals scored2/2—
—Goals allowed2/2—
—Expected goals2/2—
—Shots2/2—
—Shots on target2/2—
—Possession2/2—
—Corners2/2—
—Cards0/0—
—Fouls2/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.91 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.91 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 3 Sept 2023, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsTorinoGenoa
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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