Serie A · 2023

Fiorentina 3–2 Atalanta · Serie A

3–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Fiorentina won 3–2.

Shots
1511
Shots on target
84
Expected goals
1.120.7
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fiorentina beat Atalanta 3–2. Recorded in this match (Fiorentina – Atalanta): shots 15–11, shots on target 8–4, expected goals 1.12–0.7, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Fiorentina show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Fiorentina's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10 shots/match ▲ShotsFiorentina · Atalanta15.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFiorentinaAtalantaBaseline
Shots10 shots/match15.8 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against10.5 shots/match11.8 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Fiorentina have recorded the higher season possession share.

61.3% ●PossessionFiorentina · Atalanta49.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFiorentinaAtalantaBaseline
Possession61.3%49.3%49.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots11 shotsFiorentina 15 shots, Atalanta 11 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots4 shotsFiorentina 8 shots, Atalanta 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.12 xG0.7 xGFiorentina 1.12 xG, Atalanta 0.7 xG
  • Possession57%43%Fiorentina 57%, Atalanta 43%
  • Corners3 corners4 cornersFiorentina 3 corners, Atalanta 4 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls14 foulsFiorentina 8 fouls, Atalanta 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Christian Kouamé · Fiorentina · 90′ · 0.00 xG · on targetTeun Koopmeiners · Atalanta · 12′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRolando Mandragora · Fiorentina · 39′ · 0.02 xG · on targetGiacomo Bonaventura · Fiorentina · 40′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAdemola Lookman · Atalanta · 49′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDavide Zappacosta · Atalanta · 11′ · 0.03 xG · on targetCharles De Ketelaere · Atalanta · 29′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNicolás González · Fiorentina · 51′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRolando Mandragora · Fiorentina · 38′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJosip Brekalo · Fiorentina · 73′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJosip Brekalo · Fiorentina · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetTeun Koopmeiners · Atalanta · 9′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDavide Zappacosta · Atalanta · 11′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTeun Koopmeiners · Atalanta · 20′ · 0.05 xG · goalLucas Martínez Quarta · Fiorentina · 45′ · 0.05 xG · goalAdemola Lookman · Atalanta · 48′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedChristian Kouamé · Fiorentina · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLucas Martínez Quarta · Fiorentina · 66′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedGiacomo Bonaventura · Fiorentina · 35′ · 0.08 xG · goalAdemola Lookman · Atalanta · 53′ · 0.10 xG · goalM'bala Nzola · Fiorentina · 67′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMario Pašalić · Atalanta · 90′ · 0.11 xG · on targetLucas Martínez Quarta · Fiorentina · 39′ · 0.15 xG · on targetChristian Kouamé · Fiorentina · 76′ · 0.17 xG · goalAdemola Lookman · Atalanta · 48′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedNicolás González · Fiorentina · 60′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Fiorentina: 15 shots, 8 on target, 1.12 xG. Atalanta: 11 shots, 4 on target, 0.71 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Giacomo Bonaventura · Fiorentina · 35′Lucas Martínez Quarta · Fiorentina · 45′Christian Kouamé · Fiorentina · 76′Teun Koopmeiners · Atalanta · 20′Ademola Lookman · Atalanta · 53′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Fiorentina 1.12 xG · Atalanta 0.71 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Fiorentina
1Draws
1Atalanta
Fiorentina — Atalanta · Serie A1–1
Atalanta — Fiorentina · Serie A1–0
Fiorentina — Atalanta · Serie A1–0
Atalanta — Fiorentina · Serie A1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fiorentina favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Atalanta in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fiorentina4 matchesAtalanta4 matches
2.25 goals/match ▲Goals scored4/42 goals/match
2.25 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲ 1.25 goals/match
0.96 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲ 1.23 xG/match
10 shots/matchShots4/4▲ 15.8 shots/match
4.75 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲ 6 shots/match
61.3% ●Possession4/449.3%
2.75 corners/matchCorners4/4● 6.25 corners/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls4/412 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 17 Sept 2023, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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