Serie A · 2023Mon, 18 Sept 2023, 18:45 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
00Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricHellas VeronaBologna
Shots9 shots/match11 shots/match
Shots on target1 shots/match4 shots/match
Expected goals0.42 xG/match0.62 xG/match
Possession39%61%
Corners3 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls18 fouls/match10 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Sam Beukema · Bologna · 36′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJesper Karlsson · Bologna · 41′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJesper Karlsson · Bologna · 52′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJoshua Zirkzee · Bologna · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJosh Doig · Hellas Verona · 15′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDan Ndoye · Bologna · 22′ · 0.03 xG · on targetFederico Bonazzoli · Hellas Verona · 38′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCyril Ngonge · Hellas Verona · 47′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLewis Ferguson · Bologna · 59′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTomáš Suslov · Hellas Verona · 73′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMartin Hongla · Hellas Verona · 5′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMichael Folorunsho · Hellas Verona · 29′ · 0.04 xG · on targetDavide Faraoni · Hellas Verona · 40′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 84′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLewis Ferguson · Bologna · 23′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedVictor Kristiansen · Bologna · 59′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMilan Đurić · Hellas Verona · 73′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedFederico Bonazzoli · Hellas Verona · 14′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedDan Ndoye · Bologna · 72′ · 0.10 xG · on targetGiovanni Fabbian · Bologna · 85′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Hellas Verona: 9 shots, 1 on target, 0.41 xG. Bologna: 11 shots, 4 on target, 0.62 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Hellas Verona 0.41 xG · Bologna 0.62 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Hellas Verona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Bologna have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Hellas Verona show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Hellas Verona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

8.75 shots/matchShotsHellas Verona · Bologna13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricHellas VeronaBolognaBaseline
Shots8.75 shots/match13.5 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against15 shots/match9.75 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Bologna have recorded the higher season possession share.

43.3%PossessionHellas Verona · Bologna57%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricHellas VeronaBolognaBaseline
Possession43.3%57%49.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Hellas Verona
1Draws
1Bologna
Hellas VeronaBologna · Serie A21
BolognaHellas Verona · Serie A11
Hellas VeronaBologna · Serie A21
BolognaHellas Verona · Serie A10

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Hellas Verona favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Bologna in 0 · 13 too close

1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 4/40.75 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 4/41 goals/match
0.58 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/41.13 xG/match
1.15 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/40.66 xG/match
8.75 shots/matchShotsseason · 4/413.5 shots/match
15 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 4/49.75 shots/match
2.75 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 4/45 shots/match
5.5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 4/42.75 shots/match
43.3%Possessionseason · 4/457%
2.25 corners/matchCornersseason · 4/43.5 corners/match
7 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 4/44.25 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
16.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 4/410.5 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
50%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 4/425%
75%Scoring frequencyseason · 4/450%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Hellas Verona17.5
Bologna85
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Hellas Verona20.8
Bologna54.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Hellas Verona38.3
Bologna80.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Hellas Verona27.5
Bologna47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Hellas Verona97.5
Bologna10
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Hellas Verona7.5
Bologna30
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Hellas Verona32.5
Bologna45
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Hellas Verona4 matchesBologna4 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored4/40.75 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed4/41 goals/match
0.58 xG/matchExpected goals4/41.13 xG/match
8.75 shots/matchShots4/413.5 shots/match
2.75 shots/matchShots on target4/45 shots/match
43.3%Possession4/457%
2.25 corners/matchCorners4/43.5 corners/match
Cards0/0
16.5 fouls/matchFouls4/410.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Hellas Verona2 matchesBologna2 matches
Goals scored2/2
Goals allowed2/2
Expected goals2/2
Shots2/2
Shots on target2/2
Possession2/2
Corners2/2
Cards0/0
Fouls2/2

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

17.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/116.1 days
0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 18 Sept 2023, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match