Serie A · 2023Sat, 23 Sept 2023, 18:45 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Lazio

LLWL

1–1Full-time recap

Monza

LWLD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Lazio	Monza
Shots	8 shots/match	16 shots/match▲
Shots on target	1 shots/match	4 shots/match▲
Expected goals	1.04 xG/match	1.19 xG/match▲
Possession	49%	51%●
Corners	1 corners/match	3 corners/match●
Fouls	13 fouls/match	7 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Lazio: 8 shots, 1 on target, 1.06 xG. Monza: 16 shots, 4 on target, 1.20 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lazio 1.06 xG · Monza 1.20 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Monza's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Monza's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Monza show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Monza's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.2 shots/match▲ShotsLazio · Monza16.2 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Lazio	Monza	Baseline
Shots	11.2 shots/match	16.2 shots/match	12.4 shots/match
Shots against	16.6 shots/match	14 shots/match	12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Monza have a visible away split

weak

Monza's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

12 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season16.2 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	12 shots/match	16.2 shots/match	12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.8 corners/match●CornersLazio · Monza5 corners/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Lazio	Monza	Baseline
Corners	5.8 corners/match	5 corners/match	4.5 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Lazio

0Draws

0Monza

2 Apr 2023Monza — Lazio · Serie A0–2

10 Nov 2022Lazio — Monza · Serie A1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Lazio favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · Monza in 7 · 4 too close

1 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 5/50.8 goals/match

1.6 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 5/5▲1.4 goals/match

1.06 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 5/5▲1.3 xG/match

1.38 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 5/51.37 xG/match

11.2 shots/matchShotsseason · 5/5▲16.2 shots/match

16.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 5/5▲14 shots/match

2.8 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 5/5▲3.8 shots/match

5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 5/5▲4.2 shots/match

54.8%Possessionseason · 5/5●55.4%

5.8 corners/match●Cornersseason · 5/55 corners/match

4.6 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 5/54.4 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

12 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 5/512 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 5/5▲20%

80%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 5/560%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Lazio67.5

Monza75

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Lazio36.7

Monza51.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Lazio17.5

Monza35.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Lazio22.5

Monza72.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Lazio55

Monza55

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Lazio77.5

Monza57.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Lazio50

Monza59.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Lazio5 matchesMonza5 matches

1 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.8 goals/match

1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.4 goals/match

1.06 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.3 xG/match

11.2 shots/matchShots5/5▲16.2 shots/match

2.8 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲3.8 shots/match

54.8%Possession5/5●55.4%

5.8 corners/match●Corners5/55 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12 fouls/matchFouls5/512 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Lazio2 matchesMonza3 matches

—Goals scored2/30.33 goals/match

—Goals allowed2/32 goals/match

—Expected goals2/30.78 xG/match

—Shots2/312 shots/match

—Shots on target2/32.67 shots/match

—Possession2/354%

—Corners2/33 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

—Fouls2/39.67 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.24 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.24 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples5 / 5home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 23 Sept 2023, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4