PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Roma 1–0 Monza · Serie A

Roma

WDLWW
1–0Historical match

Monza

DDDWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Roma won 1–0.

Shots
2111
Shots on target
44
Expected goals
1.730.45
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Roma beat Monza 1–0. Recorded in this match (Roma – Monza): shots 21–11, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 1.73–0.45, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Roma's recent record differs from the season

weak

Roma's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.22 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match2.22 goals/match1.29 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Monza have a visible away split

moderate

Monza's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

12 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12 shots/match14.6 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Roma show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Roma's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.4 shots/match ▲ShotsRoma · Monza14.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRomaMonzaBaseline
Shots14.4 shots/match14.6 shots/match11.9 shots/match
Shots against8.89 shots/match14 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots21 shots11 shotsRoma 21 shots, Monza 11 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsRoma 4 shots, Monza 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.73 xG0.45 xGRoma 1.73 xG, Monza 0.45 xG
  • Possession51%49%Roma 51%, Monza 49%
  • Corners8 corners5 cornersRoma 8 corners, Monza 5 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls11 foulsRoma 11 fouls, Monza 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Andrea Belotti · Roma · 28′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEdoardo Bove · Roma · 34′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Colpani · Monza · 50′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSamuele Vignato · Monza · 76′ · 0.02 xG · on targetGiulio Donati · Monza · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetGeorgios Kyriakopoulos · Monza · 41′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSamuele Birindelli · Monza · 75′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRoberto Gagliardini · Monza · 87′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Colpani · Monza · 3′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBryan Cristante · Roma · 6′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEvan Ndicka · Roma · 60′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSamuele Birindelli · Monza · 66′ · 0.05 xG · on targetHoussem Aouar · Roma · 71′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPablo Marí · Monza · 83′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedStephan El Shaarawy · Roma · 89′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLeandro Paredes · Roma · 24′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRomelu Lukaku · Roma · 34′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Carboni · Monza · 67′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRomelu Lukaku · Roma · 79′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedStephan El Shaarawy · Roma · 79′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRomelu Lukaku · Roma · 41′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedSardar Azmoun · Roma · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedSardar Azmoun · Roma · 65′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRomelu Lukaku · Roma · 73′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Belotti · Roma · 51′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedSamuele Vignato · Monza · 82′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Mancini · Roma · 80′ · 0.11 xG · on targetSardar Azmoun · Roma · 88′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedHoussem Aouar · Roma · 37′ · 0.16 xG · on targetAndrea Belotti · Roma · 45′ · 0.16 xG · on targetBryan Cristante · Roma · 72′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Roma: 20 shots, 3 on target, 1.60 xG. Monza: 11 shots, 4 on target, 0.44 xG. · 1 unplaced

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Roma 1.60 xG · Monza 0.44 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Roma
1Draws
0Monza
Monza — Roma · Serie A1–1
Roma — Monza · Serie A3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Roma favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Monza in 2 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Roma9 matchesMonza9 matches
2.22 goals/match ▲Goals scored9/90.89 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed9/9▲ 0.89 goals/match
1.59 xG/match ▲Expected goals9/91.36 xG/match
14.4 shots/matchShots9/914.6 shots/match
4.56 shots/match ▲Shots on target9/94.11 shots/match
55.6% ●Possession9/954.3%
5.78 corners/match ●Corners9/95.33 corners/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls9/910.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 22 Oct 2023, 14:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRomaMonza
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023/24
Head-to-headRoma — Monza
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required