Serie A · 2023

Bologna 2–1 Frosinone · Serie A

Bologna

DDDWD
2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bologna won 2–1.

Shots
1212
Shots on target
65
Expected goals
1.521.51
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bologna beat Frosinone 2–1. Recorded in this match (Bologna – Frosinone): shots 12–12, shots on target 6–5, expected goals 1.52–1.51, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Bologna's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Bologna's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.11 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.11 goals/match1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Bologna have a visible home split

moderate

Bologna's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14 shots/match11.9 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Bologna show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Bologna's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.9 shots/match ▲ShotsBologna · Frosinone10.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBolognaFrosinoneBaseline
Shots11.9 shots/match10.7 shots/match11.9 shots/match
Shots against11 shots/match16 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots12 shotsBologna 12 shots, Frosinone 12 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots5 shotsBologna 6 shots, Frosinone 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.52 xG1.51 xGBologna 1.52 xG, Frosinone 1.51 xG
  • Possession55%45%Bologna 55%, Frosinone 45%
  • Corners4 corners5 cornersBologna 4 corners, Frosinone 5 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls14 foulsBologna 10 fouls, Frosinone 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Luca Mazzitelli · Frosinone · 40′ · 0.01 xG · on targetJoshua Zirkzee · Bologna · 72′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo De Silvestri · Bologna · 24′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLuca Garritano · Frosinone · 29′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatías Soulé · Frosinone · 32′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo De Silvestri · Bologna · 22′ · 0.03 xG · goalRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 31′ · 0.04 xG · on targetEnzo Barrenechea · Frosinone · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Oyono · Frosinone · 17′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAlexis Saelemaekers · Bologna · 19′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAlexis Saelemaekers · Bologna · 82′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDan Ndoye · Bologna · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetRemo Freuler · Bologna · 12′ · 0.06 xG · on targetMarvin Çuni · Frosinone · 66′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedVictor Kristiansen · Bologna · 75′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLuca Mazzitelli · Frosinone · 42′ · 0.07 xG · on targetLuca Mazzitelli · Frosinone · 57′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 68′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Marchizza · Frosinone · 85′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedWalid Cheddira · Frosinone · 45′ · 0.14 xG · on targetRiccardo Marchizza · Frosinone · 90′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedDan Ndoye · Bologna · 90′ · 0.16 xG · on targetMatías Soulé · Frosinone · 63′ · 0.82 xG · goalLewis Ferguson · Bologna · 19′ · 0.97 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Bologna: 12 shots, 6 on target, 1.57 xG. Frosinone: 12 shots, 5 on target, 1.57 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Lewis Ferguson · Bologna · 19′Lorenzo De Silvestri · Bologna · 22′Matías Soulé · Frosinone · 63′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bologna 1.57 xG · Frosinone 1.57 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bologna favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Frosinone in 3

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bologna9 matchesFrosinone9 matches
1.11 goals/matchGoals scored9/9▲ 1.33 goals/match
0.78 goals/match ▲Goals allowed9/91.44 goals/match
1.18 xG/matchExpected goals9/9▲ 1.31 xG/match
11.9 shots/match ▲Shots9/910.7 shots/match
5 shots/match ▲Shots on target9/93 shots/match
53.1% ●Possession9/949.3%
4.11 corners/matchCorners9/9● 4.56 corners/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls9/910.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 22 Oct 2023, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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