PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Fiorentina 0–2 Empoli · Serie A

0–2Historical match

Empoli

LLWLD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Empoli won 0–2.

Shots
197
Shots on target
73
Expected goals
1.051.46
Possession
72%28%

Full time

What the match recorded

Empoli beat Fiorentina 2–0. Recorded in this match (Fiorentina – Empoli): shots 19–7, shots on target 7–3, expected goals 1.05–1.46, possession 72%–28%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Empoli's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Empoli's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.33 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.33 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Fiorentina have a visible home split

weak

Fiorentina's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.5 shots/match12.2 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Fiorentina show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Fiorentina's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.2 shots/match ▲ShotsFiorentina · Empoli11.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFiorentinaEmpoliBaseline
Shots12.2 shots/match11.1 shots/match11.9 shots/match
Shots against11.3 shots/match16.7 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots7 shotsFiorentina 19 shots, Empoli 7 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots3 shotsFiorentina 7 shots, Empoli 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.05 xG1.46 xGFiorentina 1.05 xG, Empoli 1.46 xG
  • Possession72%28%Fiorentina 72%, Empoli 28%
  • Corners13 corners3 cornersFiorentina 13 corners, Empoli 3 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls17 foulsFiorentina 13 fouls, Empoli 17 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Nikola Milenković · Fiorentina · 70′ · 0.01 xG · on targetMatteo Cancellieri · Empoli · 14′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlfred Duncan · Fiorentina · 16′ · 0.02 xG · on targetGiacomo Bonaventura · Fiorentina · 61′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNicolás González · Fiorentina · 78′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNikola Milenković · Fiorentina · 87′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNicolás González · Fiorentina · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetRiccardo Sottil · Fiorentina · 57′ · 0.04 xG · on targetRiccardo Sottil · Fiorentina · 58′ · 0.04 xG · on targetGiacomo Bonaventura · Fiorentina · 64′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNicolás González · Fiorentina · 12′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFrancesco Caputo · Empoli · 26′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedM'bala Nzola · Fiorentina · 72′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Sottil · Fiorentina · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedM'bala Nzola · Fiorentina · 39′ · 0.07 xG · on targetRiccardo Sottil · Fiorentina · 50′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Sottil · Fiorentina · 62′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedNicolás González · Fiorentina · 12′ · 0.10 xG · on targetLucas Beltrán · Fiorentina · 75′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedLucas Beltrán · Fiorentina · 87′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedLucas Martínez Quarta · Fiorentina · 18′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Cambiaghi · Empoli · 6′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Cambiaghi · Empoli · 30′ · 0.17 xG · on targetMattia Destro · Empoli · 90′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedFrancesco Caputo · Empoli · 21′ · 0.38 xG · goalEmmanuel Gyasi · Empoli · 81′ · 0.44 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Fiorentina: 19 shots, 7 on target, 1.07 xG. Empoli: 7 shots, 3 on target, 1.44 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Francesco Caputo · Empoli · 21′Emmanuel Gyasi · Empoli · 81′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Fiorentina 1.07 xG · Empoli 1.44 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Fiorentina
2Draws
1Empoli
Fiorentina — Empoli · Serie A1–1
Empoli — Fiorentina · Serie A0–0
Fiorentina — Empoli · Serie A1–0
Empoli — Fiorentina · Serie A2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fiorentina favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Empoli in 1

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fiorentina9 matchesEmpoli9 matches
2 goals/match ▲Goals scored9/90.33 goals/match
1.44 goals/match ▲Goals allowed9/91.78 goals/match
1.12 xG/match ▲Expected goals9/91.04 xG/match
12.2 shots/match ▲Shots9/911.1 shots/match
4.33 shots/match ▲Shots on target9/93.22 shots/match
58% ●Possession9/944.3%
5 corners/match ●Corners9/94.78 corners/match
12 fouls/matchFouls9/913.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 23 Oct 2023, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFiorentinaEmpoli
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023/24
Head-to-headFiorentina — Empoli
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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