Serie A · 2023

Inter 1–0 Roma · Serie A

Inter

WLWDW
1–0Historical match

Roma

DLWWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Inter won 1–0.

Shots
193
Shots on target
31
Expected goals
2.30.14
Possession
63%37%

Full time

What the match recorded

Inter beat Roma 1–0. Recorded in this match (Inter – Roma): shots 19–3, shots on target 3–1, expected goals 2.3–0.14, possession 63%–37%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Roma's recent record differs from the season

weak

Roma's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match2 goals/match1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots3 shotsInter 19 shots, Roma 3 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots1 shotInter 3 shots, Roma 1 shot
  • Expected goals2.3 xG0.14 xGInter 2.3 xG, Roma 0.14 xG
  • Possession63%37%Inter 63%, Roma 37%
  • Corners8 corners0 cornersInter 8 corners, Roma 0 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls9 foulsInter 14 fouls, Roma 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Hakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 6′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBenjamin Pavard · Inter · 28′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKristjan Asllani · Inter · 76′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Augusto · Inter · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHenrikh Mkhitaryan · Inter · 24′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBryan Cristante · Roma · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Thuram · Inter · 10′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Thuram · Inter · 21′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 66′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Barella · Inter · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLeandro Paredes · Roma · 65′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBryan Cristante · Roma · 66′ · 0.07 xG · on targetLautaro Martínez · Inter · 59′ · 0.08 xG · on targetLautaro Martínez · Inter · 39′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedFederico Dimarco · Inter · 16′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Thuram · Inter · 89′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Thuram · Inter · 48′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Martínez · Inter · 11′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Thuram · Inter · 15′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Martínez · Inter · 19′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Thuram · Inter · 15′ · 0.26 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Inter: 18 shots, 2 on target, 1.77 xG. Roma: 3 shots, 1 on target, 0.15 xG. · 1 unplaced

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Inter 1.77 xG · Roma 0.15 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Inter
0Draws
1Roma
Roma — Inter · Serie A0–2
Inter — Roma · Serie A1–2
Inter — Roma · Serie A3–1
Roma — Inter · Serie A0–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Inter favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Roma in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Inter10 matchesRoma10 matches
2.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored10/102 goals/match
0.5 goals/match ▲Goals allowed10/101.3 goals/match
2.05 xG/match ▲Expected goals10/101.45 xG/match
17.3 shots/match ▲Shots10/1013.3 shots/match
5.1 shots/match ▲Shots on target10/104.2 shots/match
56.3% ●Possession10/1053.7%
5.7 corners/match ●Corners10/105.2 corners/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 29 Oct 2023, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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