Serie A · 2023

Udinese 3–0 Bologna · Serie A

Udinese

LDLDD
3–0Historical match

Bologna

WDWWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Udinese won 3–0.

Shots
1514
Shots on target
75
Expected goals
1.130.95
Possession
27%73%

Full time

What the match recorded

Udinese beat Bologna 3–0. Recorded in this match (Udinese – Bologna): shots 15–14, shots on target 7–5, expected goals 1.13–0.95, possession 27%–73%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Udinese's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Udinese's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1 goal/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Bologna have recorded the higher season possession share.

40.2%PossessionUdinese · Bologna● 56.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.9 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricUdineseBolognaBaseline
Possession40.2%56.1%51.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots14 shotsUdinese 15 shots, Bologna 14 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots5 shotsUdinese 7 shots, Bologna 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.13 xG0.95 xGUdinese 1.13 xG, Bologna 0.95 xG
  • Possession27%73%Udinese 27%, Bologna 73%
  • Corners7 corners7 cornersUdinese 7 corners, Bologna 7 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls14 foulsUdinese 15 fouls, Bologna 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Lorenzo Lucca · Udinese · 30′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMartín Payero · Udinese · 42′ · 0.01 xG · on targetRiccardo Calafiori · Bologna · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRoberto Pereyra · Udinese · 16′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSandi Lovrić · Udinese · 18′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMartín Payero · Udinese · 23′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMartín Payero · Udinese · 29′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMartín Payero · Udinese · 64′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFesty Ebosele · Udinese · 22′ · 0.03 xG · on targetNikola Moro · Bologna · 39′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Lucca · Udinese · 42′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKacper Urbański · Bologna · 58′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJoshua Zirkzee · Bologna · 76′ · 0.03 xG · on targetSandi Lovrić · Udinese · 48′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 71′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLewis Ferguson · Bologna · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Calafiori · Bologna · 36′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGiovanni Fabbian · Bologna · 88′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNikola Moro · Bologna · 11′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedThomas Kristensen · Udinese · 55′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSydney van Hooijdonk · Bologna · 77′ · 0.07 xG · on targetMartín Payero · Udinese · 52′ · 0.10 xG · goalMichel Aebischer · Bologna · 90′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedGiovanni Fabbian · Bologna · 90′ · 0.11 xG · on targetJoshua Zirkzee · Bologna · 37′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedRoberto Pereyra · Udinese · 23′ · 0.18 xG · goalGiovanni Fabbian · Bologna · 90′ · 0.18 xG · on targetHassane Kamara · Udinese · 22′ · 0.19 xG · on targetLorenzo Lucca · Udinese · 48′ · 0.39 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Udinese: 15 shots, 7 on target, 1.14 xG. Bologna: 14 shots, 5 on target, 0.96 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Roberto Pereyra · Udinese · 23′Lorenzo Lucca · Udinese · 48′Martín Payero · Udinese · 52′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Udinese 1.14 xG · Bologna 0.96 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Udinese
2Draws
2Bologna
Bologna — Udinese · Serie A3–0
Udinese — Bologna · Serie A1–2
Bologna — Udinese · Serie A2–2
Udinese — Bologna · Serie A1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Udinese favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Bologna in 8 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Udinese18 matchesBologna18 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored18/18▲ 1.17 goals/match
1.56 goals/matchGoals allowed18/18▲ 0.83 goals/match
1.2 xG/matchExpected goals18/181.17 xG/match
12.2 shots/match ▲Shots18/1811 shots/match
4.11 shots/matchShots on target18/184.17 shots/match
40.2%Possession18/18● 56.1%
4.5 corners/match ●Corners18/183.39 corners/match
12.9 fouls/matchFouls18/1812.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 30 Dec 2023, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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