Serie A · 2023

Monza 1–5 Inter · Serie A

Monza

WLLDW
1–5Historical match

Inter

WWWDW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Inter won 1–5.

Shots
920
Shots on target
27
Expected goals
1.024.37
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

Inter beat Monza 5–1. Recorded in this match (Monza – Inter): shots 9–20, shots on target 2–7, expected goals 1.02–4.37, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Inter show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Inter's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.6 shots/match ▲ShotsMonza · Inter16.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricMonzaInterBaseline
Shots12.6 shots/match16.2 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against15.1 shots/match9.95 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Monza's recent record differs from the season

weak

Monza's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1 goal/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots20 shotsMonza 9 shots, Inter 20 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots7 shotsMonza 2 shots, Inter 7 shots
  • Expected goals1.02 xG4.37 xGMonza 1.02 xG, Inter 4.37 xG
  • Possession57%43%Monza 57%, Inter 43%
  • Corners4 corners5 cornersMonza 4 corners, Inter 5 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls12 foulsMonza 6 fouls, Inter 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Henrikh Mkhitaryan · Inter · 73′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSamuele Birindelli · Monza · 62′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGeorgios Kyriakopoulos · Monza · 75′ · 0.02 xG · on targetGeorgios Kyriakopoulos · Monza · 79′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 6′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Martínez · Inter · 7′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Colpani · Monza · 16′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLuca Caldirola · Monza · 29′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 58′ · 0.03 xG · on targetFederico Dimarco · Inter · 7′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Colpani · Monza · 43′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Thuram · Inter · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHenrikh Mkhitaryan · Inter · 55′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLuca Caldirola · Monza · 57′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDany Mota · Monza · 87′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHenrikh Mkhitaryan · Inter · 7′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Martínez · Inter · 10′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedKristjan Asllani · Inter · 81′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedBenjamin Pavard · Inter · 66′ · 0.07 xG · on targetMarcus Thuram · Inter · 41′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedFederico Dimarco · Inter · 3′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Thuram · Inter · 7′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedHakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 60′ · 0.25 xG · goalMarcus Thuram · Inter · 22′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Thuram · Inter · 88′ · 0.49 xG · goalHakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 12′ · 0.82 xG · goalMatteo Pessina · Monza · 69′ · 0.82 xG · goalLautaro Martínez · Inter · 84′ · 0.82 xG · goalLautaro Martínez · Inter · 14′ · 0.99 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Monza: 9 shots, 2 on target, 1.06 xG. Inter: 20 shots, 7 on target, 4.45 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

02.254.50′HT90′Matteo Pessina · Monza · 69′Hakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 12′Lautaro Martínez · Inter · 14′Hakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 60′Lautaro Martínez · Inter · 84′Marcus Thuram · Inter · 88′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Monza 1.06 xG · Inter 4.45 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Monza
1Draws
1Inter
Inter — Monza · Serie A2–0
Inter — Monza · Serie A0–1
Monza — Inter · Serie A2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Monza favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Inter in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Monza20 matchesInter20 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored20/20▲ 2.45 goals/match
1.25 goals/matchGoals allowed20/20▲ 0.5 goals/match
1.12 xG/matchExpected goals20/20▲ 2.23 xG/match
12.6 shots/matchShots20/20▲ 16.2 shots/match
3.65 shots/matchShots on target20/20▲ 5.4 shots/match
53.6%Possession20/20● 55.8%
4.95 corners/matchCorners20/20● 5.7 corners/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls20/2011.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 13 Jan 2024, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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