Serie A · 2023

Fiorentina 2–2 Udinese · Serie A

2–2Historical match

Udinese

LDDWL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Fiorentina and Udinese drew 2–2.

Shots
1012
Shots on target
36
Expected goals
1.341.21
Possession
70%30%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fiorentina and Udinese drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Fiorentina – Udinese): shots 10–12, shots on target 3–6, expected goals 1.34–1.21, possession 70%–30%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Udinese's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Udinese's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.05 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.05 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Fiorentina have recorded the higher season possession share.

58.4% ●PossessionFiorentina · Udinese40%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 18.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFiorentinaUdineseBaseline
Possession58.4%40%51.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots12 shotsFiorentina 10 shots, Udinese 12 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots6 shotsFiorentina 3 shots, Udinese 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.34 xG1.21 xGFiorentina 1.34 xG, Udinese 1.21 xG
  • Possession70%30%Fiorentina 70%, Udinese 30%
  • Corners4 corners4 cornersFiorentina 4 corners, Udinese 4 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls13 foulsFiorentina 14 fouls, Udinese 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Josip Brekalo · Fiorentina · 21′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDavide Faraoni · Fiorentina · 65′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSandi Lovrić · Udinese · 23′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRolando Mandragora · Fiorentina · 52′ · 0.03 xG · on targetFesty Ebosele · Udinese · 19′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLazar Samardžić · Udinese · 37′ · 0.04 xG · on targetCristiano Biraghi · Fiorentina · 57′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedWalace · Udinese · 4′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Thauvin · Udinese · 64′ · 0.05 xG · on targetLucas Beltrán · Fiorentina · 85′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFesty Ebosele · Udinese · 46′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLucas Beltrán · Fiorentina · 55′ · 0.06 xG · goalGiacomo Bonaventura · Fiorentina · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedM'bala Nzola · Fiorentina · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Thauvin · Udinese · 73′ · 0.08 xG · goalIsaac Success · Udinese · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRoberto Pereyra · Udinese · 29′ · 0.11 xG · on targetSandi Lovrić · Udinese · 10′ · 0.12 xG · goalJonathan Ikoné · Fiorentina · 45′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Lucca · Udinese · 23′ · 0.23 xG · on targetRoberto Pereyra · Udinese · 46′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedM'bala Nzola · Fiorentina · 87′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Fiorentina: 10 shots, 3 on target, 1.36 xG. Udinese: 12 shots, 6 on target, 1.18 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Lucas Beltrán · Fiorentina · 55′M'bala Nzola · Fiorentina · 87′Sandi Lovrić · Udinese · 10′Florian Thauvin · Udinese · 73′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Fiorentina 1.36 xG · Udinese 1.18 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Fiorentina
0Draws
2Udinese
Udinese — Fiorentina · Serie A0–2
Fiorentina — Udinese · Serie A2–0
Udinese — Fiorentina · Serie A1–0
Fiorentina — Udinese · Serie A0–4
Udinese — Fiorentina · Serie A0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fiorentina favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Udinese in 0 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fiorentina20 matchesUdinese20 matches
1.45 goals/match ▲Goals scored20/201.05 goals/match
1.05 goals/match ▲Goals allowed20/201.6 goals/match
1.22 xG/matchExpected goals20/201.18 xG/match
13.2 shots/match ▲Shots20/2012.3 shots/match
4.5 shots/match ▲Shots on target20/204.1 shots/match
58.4% ●Possession20/2040%
4.95 corners/match ●Corners20/204.45 corners/match
13 fouls/matchFouls20/2013.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 14 Jan 2024, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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