Serie A · 2023

Udinese 1–2 Roma · Serie A

Udinese

WLDLL
1–2Historical match

Roma

DWDWL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Roma won 1–2.

Shots
919
Shots on target
35
Expected goals
0.641.49
Possession
28%72%

Full time

What the match recorded

Roma beat Udinese 2–1. Recorded in this match (Udinese – Roma): shots 9–19, shots on target 3–5, expected goals 0.64–1.49, possession 28%–72%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Roma's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Roma's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.79 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.79 goals/match1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Roma.

4.97 days ▲Rest daysUdinese · Roma3.06 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricUdineseRomaBaseline
Rest days4.97 days3.06 days—
Matches last 14 days1 match1 match—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Roma have recorded the higher season possession share.

39.3%PossessionUdinese · Roma● 54.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricUdineseRomaBaseline
Possession39.3%54.8%50.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots19 shotsUdinese 9 shots, Roma 19 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots5 shotsUdinese 3 shots, Roma 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.64 xG1.49 xGUdinese 0.64 xG, Roma 1.49 xG
  • Possession28%72%Udinese 28%, Roma 72%
  • Corners4 corners8 cornersUdinese 4 corners, Roma 8 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls10 foulsUdinese 15 fouls, Roma 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Leandro Paredes · Roma · 32′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLeandro Paredes · Roma · 49′ · 0.01 xG · on targetLorenzo Lucca · Udinese · 81′ · 0.01 xG · on targetRomelu Lukaku · Roma · 26′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Lucca · Udinese · 51′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLazar Samardžić · Udinese · 56′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPaulo Dybala · Roma · 61′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBryan Cristante · Roma · 63′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Pellegrini · Roma · 79′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRoberto Pereyra · Udinese · 83′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTommaso Baldanzi · Roma · 68′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Pellegrini · Roma · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKingsley Ehizibue · Udinese · 15′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Pellegrini · Roma · 79′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTommaso Baldanzi · Roma · 21′ · 0.05 xG · on targetRomelu Lukaku · Roma · 39′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRoberto Pereyra · Udinese · 83′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Lucca · Udinese · 9′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedHoussem Aouar · Roma · 17′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJaka Bijol · Udinese · 16′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedSardar Azmoun · Roma · 85′ · 0.10 xG · on targetBryan Cristante · Roma · 59′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedTommaso Baldanzi · Roma · 63′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedRomelu Lukaku · Roma · 68′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedBryan Cristante · Roma · 90′ · 0.13 xG · goalPaulo Dybala · Roma · 90′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedRoberto Pereyra · Udinese · 23′ · 0.30 xG · goalRomelu Lukaku · Roma · 64′ · 0.34 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Udinese: 9 shots, 3 on target, 0.66 xG. Roma: 19 shots, 5 on target, 1.48 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Roberto Pereyra · Udinese · 23′Romelu Lukaku · Roma · 64′Bryan Cristante · Roma · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Udinese 0.66 xG · Roma 1.48 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Udinese
1Draws
3Roma
Roma — Udinese · Serie A3–1
Roma — Udinese · Serie A3–0
Udinese — Roma · Serie A4–0
Udinese — Roma · Serie A1–1
Roma — Udinese · Serie A1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Udinese favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Roma in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Udinese33 matchesRoma33 matches
0.94 goals/matchGoals scored33/33▲ 1.79 goals/match
1.52 goals/matchGoals allowed33/33▲ 1.18 goals/match
1.06 xG/matchExpected goals33/33▲ 1.38 xG/match
12.3 shots/matchShots33/3312.2 shots/match
3.73 shots/matchShots on target33/33▲ 4.03 shots/match
39.3%Possession33/33● 54.8%
4.21 corners/matchCorners33/33● 4.36 corners/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls33/3312.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 25 Apr 2024, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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