Serie A · 2023

Genoa 3–0 Cagliari · Serie A

Genoa

DDWDL
3–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Genoa won 3–0.

Shots
1212
Shots on target
51
Expected goals
1.181.12
Possession
63%37%

Full time

What the match recorded

Genoa beat Cagliari 3–0. Recorded in this match (Genoa – Cagliari): shots 12–12, shots on target 5–1, expected goals 1.18–1.12, possession 63%–37%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cagliari's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cagliari's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.06 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.06 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Cagliari have a visible away split

moderate

Cagliari's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.71 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.71 shots/match11.7 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots12 shotsGenoa 12 shots, Cagliari 12 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots1 shotGenoa 5 shots, Cagliari 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.18 xG1.12 xGGenoa 1.18 xG, Cagliari 1.12 xG
  • Possession63%37%Genoa 63%, Cagliari 37%
  • Corners2 corners4 cornersGenoa 2 corners, Cagliari 4 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls14 foulsGenoa 12 fouls, Cagliari 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Gaetano Oristanio · Cagliari · 35′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMilan Badelj · Genoa · 48′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAlessandro Deiola · Cagliari · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPaulo Azzi · Cagliari · 85′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlessandro Vogliacco · Genoa · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKoni De Winter · Genoa · 13′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMorten Thorsby · Genoa · 17′ · 0.04 xG · goalVitinha · Genoa · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAarón Martín · Genoa · 26′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMorten Frendrup · Genoa · 27′ · 0.05 xG · goalKingstone Mutandwa · Cagliari · 85′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMateusz Wieteska · Cagliari · 35′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedKoni De Winter · Genoa · 57′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedEldor Shomurodov · Cagliari · 16′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMateo Retegui · Genoa · 33′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMorten Thorsby · Genoa · 53′ · 0.07 xG · on targetVitinha · Genoa · 86′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedGaetano Oristanio · Cagliari · 31′ · 0.10 xG · on targetGianluca Lapadula · Cagliari · 60′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedPaulo Azzi · Cagliari · 74′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedGaetano Oristanio · Cagliari · 19′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Lapadula · Cagliari · 85′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedAlessandro Deiola · Cagliari · 74′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedAlbert Guðmundsson · Genoa · 63′ · 0.60 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Genoa: 12 shots, 5 on target, 1.14 xG. Cagliari: 12 shots, 1 on target, 1.15 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Morten Thorsby · Genoa · 17′Morten Frendrup · Genoa · 27′Albert Guðmundsson · Genoa · 63′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Genoa 1.14 xG · Cagliari 1.15 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Genoa
2Draws
1Cagliari
Cagliari — Genoa · Serie A2–1
Cagliari — Genoa · Serie B0–0
Genoa — Cagliari · Serie B0–0
Genoa — Cagliari · Serie A1–0
Cagliari — Genoa · Serie A2–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Genoa favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Cagliari in 2 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Genoa34 matchesCagliari34 matches
1.12 goals/match ▲Goals scored34/341.06 goals/match
1.18 goals/match ▲Goals allowed34/341.74 goals/match
0.95 xG/matchExpected goals34/34▲ 1.11 xG/match
10.6 shots/matchShots34/34▲ 11.7 shots/match
3.41 shots/matchShots on target34/343.47 shots/match
44.3% ●Possession34/3442%
3.88 corners/matchCorners34/34● 4.68 corners/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls34/3412.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples34 / 34home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 29 Apr 2024, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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