Serie A · 2024Sun, 1 Sept 2024, 16:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Fiorentina

2–2Full-time recap

Monza

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Fiorentina	Monza
Shots	18 shots/match▲	4 shots/match
Shots on target	6 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	2.07 xG/match▲	0.3 xG/match
Possession	68%●	32%
Corners	7 corners/match●	0 corners/match
Fouls	11 fouls/match	22 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Fiorentina: 18 shots, 6 on target, 2.08 xG. Monza: 4 shots, 3 on target, 0.30 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Fiorentina 2.08 xG · Monza 0.30 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Monza's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Monza show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Monza's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

15.7 shots/match▲ShotsFiorentina · Monza6.33 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Fiorentina	Monza	Baseline
Shots	15.7 shots/match	6.33 shots/match	12.5 shots/match
Shots against	8.67 shots/match	13.3 shots/match	11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Fiorentina

1Draws

1Monza

13 May 2024Fiorentina — Monza · Serie A2–1

22 Dec 2023Monza — Fiorentina · Serie A0–1

23 Apr 2023Monza — Fiorentina · Serie A3–2

4 Jan 2023Fiorentina — Monza · Serie A1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Fiorentina favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Monza in 0 · 13 too close

1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 3/30.67 goals/match

1 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 3/31 goals/match

1.24 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/30.36 xG/match

0.92 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/31.08 xG/match

15.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 3/36.33 shots/match

8.67 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 3/313.3 shots/match

7 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 3/32 shots/match

4.33 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 3/33 shots/match

61.3%●Possessionseason · 3/354.7%

7.67 corners/match●Cornersseason · 3/33.67 corners/match

2.33 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 3/35.67 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 3/315.7 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

33%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 3/333%

67%Scoring frequencyseason · 3/333%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Fiorentina92.5

Monza62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Fiorentina71.7

Monza11.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Fiorentina60

Monza58.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Fiorentina47.5

Monza2.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Fiorentina40

Monza82.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Fiorentina87.5

Monza30

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Fiorentina75

Monza29.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Fiorentina3 matchesMonza3 matches

1 goals/match▲Goals scored3/30.67 goals/match

1 goals/matchGoals allowed3/31 goals/match

1.24 xG/match▲Expected goals3/30.36 xG/match

15.7 shots/match▲Shots3/36.33 shots/match

7 shots/match▲Shots on target3/32 shots/match

61.3%●Possession3/354.7%

7.67 corners/match●Corners3/33.67 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11 fouls/matchFouls3/315.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Fiorentina2 matchesMonza2 matches

—Goals scored2/2—

—Goals allowed2/2—

—Expected goals2/2—

—Shots2/2—

—Shots on target2/2—

—Possession2/2—

—Corners2/2—

—Cards0/0—

—Fouls2/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.91 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples3 / 3home / away teams

Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 1 Sept 2024, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4