Serie A · 2024

Monza 1–1 Inter · Serie A

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Monza and Inter drew 1–1.

Shots
516
Shots on target
22
Expected goals
0.241.66
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

Monza and Inter drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Monza – Inter): shots 5–16, shots on target 2–2, expected goals 0.24–1.66, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Monza show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Monza's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

6 shots/match ▲ShotsMonza · Inter14.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricMonzaInterBaseline
Shots6 shots/match14.3 shots/match13.4 shots/match
Shots against14 shots/match9.75 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Inter have recorded the higher season possession share.

51%PossessionMonza · Inter● 60.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricMonzaInterBaseline
Possession51%60.8%51.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots5 shots16 shotsMonza 5 shots, Inter 16 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots2 shotsMonza 2 shots, Inter 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.24 xG1.66 xGMonza 0.24 xG, Inter 1.66 xG
  • Possession40%60%Monza 40%, Inter 60%
  • Corners1 corner8 cornersMonza 1 corner, Inter 8 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls19 foulsMonza 11 fouls, Inter 19 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Kristjan Asllani · Inter · 65′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBenjamin Pavard · Inter · 86′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Maldini · Monza · 7′ · 0.03 xG · on targetWarren Bondo · Monza · 41′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFederico Dimarco · Inter · 75′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDavide Frattesi · Inter · 75′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMehdi Taremi · Inter · 58′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPiotr Zieliński · Inter · 61′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPiotr Zieliński · Inter · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFederico Dimarco · Inter · 6′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDany Mota · Monza · 81′ · 0.05 xG · goalDenzel Dumfries · Inter · 84′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMatteo Pessina · Monza · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Thuram · Inter · 51′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Martínez · Inter · 14′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMilan Đurić · Monza · 69′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedDavide Frattesi · Inter · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Martínez · Inter · 8′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedBenjamin Pavard · Inter · 33′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedDavide Frattesi · Inter · 26′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedDenzel Dumfries · Inter · 88′ · 0.61 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Monza: 5 shots, 2 on target, 0.25 xG. Inter: 16 shots, 2 on target, 1.67 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Dany Mota · Monza · 81′Denzel Dumfries · Inter · 88′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Monza 0.25 xG · Inter 1.67 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Monza
1Draws
2Inter
Monza — Inter · Serie A1–5
Inter — Monza · Serie A2–0
Inter — Monza · Serie A0–1
Monza — Inter · Serie A2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Monza favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Inter in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Monza4 matchesInter4 matches
0.75 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲ 2.25 goals/match
1 goal/matchGoals allowed4/4▲ 0.75 goals/match
0.33 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲ 1.84 xG/match
6 shots/matchShots4/4▲ 14.3 shots/match
2 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲ 4.25 shots/match
51%Possession4/4● 60.8%
3 corners/matchCorners4/4● 6.25 corners/match
14.5 fouls/matchFouls4/412.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 15 Sept 2024, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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