PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Monza 1–2 Bologna · Serie A

Monza

DLDD
1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bologna won 1–2.

Shots
615
Shots on target
38
Expected goals
0.570.76
Possession
42%58%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bologna beat Monza 2–1. Recorded in this match (Monza – Bologna): shots 6–15, shots on target 3–8, expected goals 0.57–0.76, possession 42%–58%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Monza show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Monza's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

6 shots/match ▲ShotsMonza · Bologna14.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricMonzaBolognaBaseline
Shots6 shots/match14.6 shots/match14.1 shots/match
Shots against14.2 shots/match8.6 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

moderate

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

15.6 fouls/matchFoulsMonza · Bologna15.4 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricMonzaBolognaBaseline
Fouls15.6 fouls/match15.4 fouls/match12 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Bologna have a visible away split

weak

Bologna's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

12.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.3 shots/match14.6 shots/match14.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots15 shotsMonza 6 shots, Bologna 15 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots8 shotsMonza 3 shots, Bologna 8 shots
  • Expected goals0.57 xG0.76 xGMonza 0.57 xG, Bologna 0.76 xG
  • Possession42%58%Monza 42%, Bologna 58%
  • Corners2 corners2 cornersMonza 2 corners, Bologna 2 corners
  • Fouls20 fouls16 foulsMonza 20 fouls, Bologna 16 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Charalampos Lykogiannis · Bologna · 75′ · 0.01 xG · on targetMatteo Pessina · Monza · 83′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMichel Aebischer · Bologna · 22′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlessandro Bianco · Monza · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDan Ndoye · Bologna · 56′ · 0.02 xG · on targetSantiago Castro · Bologna · 80′ · 0.02 xG · goalMichel Aebischer · Bologna · 84′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDan Ndoye · Bologna · 4′ · 0.03 xG · on targetDan Ndoye · Bologna · 39′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Maldini · Monza · 43′ · 0.03 xG · on targetSantiago Castro · Bologna · 49′ · 0.03 xG · on targetCharalampos Lykogiannis · Bologna · 56′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKacper Urbański · Bologna · 31′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPedro Pereira · Monza · 10′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAlessandro Bianco · Monza · 11′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDan Ndoye · Bologna · 74′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJens Odgaard · Bologna · 20′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedNikola Moro · Bologna · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKacper Urbański · Bologna · 24′ · 0.15 xG · goalSantiago Castro · Bologna · 36′ · 0.16 xG · on targetMilan Đurić · Monza · 43′ · 0.42 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Monza: 6 shots, 3 on target, 0.58 xG. Bologna: 15 shots, 8 on target, 0.75 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Milan Đurić · Monza · 43′Kacper Urbański · Bologna · 24′Santiago Castro · Bologna · 80′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Monza 0.58 xG · Bologna 0.75 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Monza
2Draws
1Bologna
Bologna — Monza · Serie A0–0
Monza — Bologna · Serie A0–0
Bologna — Monza · Serie A0–1
Monza — Bologna · Serie A1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Monza favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Bologna in 8

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Monza5 matchesBologna5 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲ 1.2 goals/match
1.2 goals/match ▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match
0.38 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲ 1.44 xG/match
6 shots/matchShots5/5▲ 14.6 shots/match
2.2 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲ 4.8 shots/match
49.2%Possession5/5● 63.4%
2.8 corners/matchCorners5/5● 5 corners/match
15.6 fouls/matchFouls5/515.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 22 Sept 2024, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMonzaBologna
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024/25
Head-to-headMonza — Bologna
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required