PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Como 1–1 Parma · Serie A

Como

LDWWL
1–1Historical match

Parma

LLDLD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Como and Parma drew 1–1.

Shots
129
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
1.280.51
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

Como and Parma drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Como – Parma): shots 12–9, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 1.28–0.51, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Como's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Como's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.38 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.38 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Como have a visible home split

weak

Como's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season14.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.7 shots/match14.1 shots/match13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Como show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Como's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.1 shots/match ▲ShotsComo · Parma13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricComoParmaBaseline
Shots14.1 shots/match13.8 shots/match13.9 shots/match
Shots against10 shots/match17 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots9 shotsComo 12 shots, Parma 9 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsComo 3 shots, Parma 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.28 xG0.51 xGComo 1.28 xG, Parma 0.51 xG
  • Possession61%39%Como 61%, Parma 39%
  • Corners7 corners4 cornersComo 7 corners, Parma 4 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls10 foulsComo 14 fouls, Parma 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Antoine Hainaut · Parma · 30′ · 0.01 xG · on targetMáximo Perrone · Como · 68′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLuca Mazzitelli · Como · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNico Paz · Como · 32′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Cutrone · Como · 49′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Strefezza · Como · 24′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Cutrone · Como · 53′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedValentin Mihăilă · Parma · 61′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedValentin Mihăilă · Parma · 76′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAdrián Bernabé · Parma · 42′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Charpentier · Parma · 86′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAdrián Bernabé · Parma · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSimon Sohm · Parma · 4′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAnge-Yoan Bonny · Parma · 58′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIgnace Van der Brempt · Como · 53′ · 0.07 xG · on targetGabriel Strefezza · Como · 9′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAlberto Dossena · Como · 28′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Cutrone · Como · 33′ · 0.14 xG · on targetGabriel Strefezza · Como · 33′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedAnge-Yoan Bonny · Parma · 20′ · 0.20 xG · goalNico Paz · Como · 45′ · 0.69 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Como: 12 shots, 3 on target, 1.35 xG. Parma: 9 shots, 3 on target, 0.49 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Nico Paz · Como · 45′Ange-Yoan Bonny · Parma · 20′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Como 1.35 xG · Parma 0.49 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Como
1Draws
3Parma
Como — Parma · Serie B1–1
Parma — Como · Serie B2–1
Como — Parma · Serie B2–0
Parma — Como · Serie B1–0
Parma — Como · Serie B4–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Como favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Parma in 4 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Como8 matchesParma8 matches
1.38 goals/matchGoals scored8/81.38 goals/match
1.88 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲ 1.63 goals/match
1.19 xG/matchExpected goals8/8▲ 1.49 xG/match
14.1 shots/matchShots8/813.8 shots/match
4.38 shots/matchShots on target8/84.38 shots/match
53.6% ●Possession8/845.3%
4.38 corners/matchCorners8/8● 5.38 corners/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls8/810.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 19 Oct 2024, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsComoParma
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024/25
Head-to-headComo — Parma
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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