PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Milan 1–0 Udinese · Serie A

Milan

DWWWL
1–0Historical match

Udinese

WWLLW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Milan won 1–0.

Shots
1013
Shots on target
51
Expected goals
1.180.44
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

Milan beat Udinese 1–0. Recorded in this match (Milan – Udinese): shots 10–13, shots on target 5–1, expected goals 1.18–0.44, possession 44%–56%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Udinese show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Udinese's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

15.3 shots/match ▲ShotsMilan · Udinese10.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricMilanUdineseBaseline
Shots15.3 shots/match10.4 shots/match13.7 shots/match
Shots against10.4 shots/match15 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Udinese's recent record differs from the season

weak

Udinese's last-five shots average is above their season average.

12.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season10.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots12.2 shots/match10.4 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Milan have recorded the higher season possession share.

55.3% ●PossessionMilan · Udinese43.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricMilanUdineseBaseline
Possession55.3%43.5%48.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots13 shotsMilan 10 shots, Udinese 13 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots1 shotMilan 5 shots, Udinese 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.18 xG0.44 xGMilan 1.18 xG, Udinese 0.44 xG
  • Possession44%56%Milan 44%, Udinese 56%
  • Corners8 corners4 cornersMilan 8 corners, Udinese 4 corners
  • Fouls3 fouls14 foulsMilan 3 fouls, Udinese 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jesper Karlström · Udinese · 25′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedOier Zarraga · Udinese · 57′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSandi Lovrić · Udinese · 1′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKingsley Ehizibue · Udinese · 18′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJaka Bijol · Udinese · 50′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJaka Bijol · Udinese · 81′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedChristian Kabasele · Udinese · 86′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedChristian Kabasele · Udinese · 87′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Chukwueze · Milan · 36′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNoah Okafor · Milan · 9′ · 0.05 xG · on targetSamuel Chukwueze · Milan · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKingsley Ehizibue · Udinese · 55′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJürgen Ekkelenkamp · Udinese · 72′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJordan Zemura · Udinese · 32′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedTijjani Reijnders · Milan · 20′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMartín Payero · Udinese · 79′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedChristian Kabasele · Udinese · 57′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedChristian Pulišić · Milan · 75′ · 0.09 xG · on targetChristian Pulišić · Milan · 22′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedRuben Loftus-Cheek · Milan · 82′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedÁlvaro Morata · Milan · 18′ · 0.11 xG · on targetSamuel Chukwueze · Milan · 13′ · 0.17 xG · goalTammy Abraham · Milan · 75′ · 0.46 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Milan: 10 shots, 5 on target, 1.23 xG. Udinese: 13 shots, 1 on target, 0.45 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Samuel Chukwueze · Milan · 13′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Milan 1.23 xG · Udinese 0.45 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Milan
1Draws
2Udinese
Udinese — Milan · Serie A2–3
Milan — Udinese · Serie A0–1
Udinese — Milan · Serie A3–1
Milan — Udinese · Serie A4–2
Milan — Udinese · Serie A1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Milan favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Udinese in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Milan8 matchesUdinese8 matches
2 goals/match ▲Goals scored8/81.25 goals/match
1.13 goals/match ▲Goals allowed8/81.38 goals/match
1.85 xG/match ▲Expected goals8/81.04 xG/match
15.3 shots/match ▲Shots8/810.4 shots/match
6.25 shots/match ▲Shots on target8/83 shots/match
55.3% ●Possession8/843.5%
6.5 corners/match ●Corners8/84.5 corners/match
9.63 fouls/matchFouls8/814.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 19 Oct 2024, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMilanUdinese
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024/25
Head-to-headMilan — Udinese
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required