PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Inter 1–0 Venezia · Serie A

Inter

WWWDW
1–0Historical match

Venezia

LLLDW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Inter won 1–0.

Shots
197
Shots on target
82
Expected goals
2.411.07
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

Inter beat Venezia 1–0. Recorded in this match (Inter – Venezia): shots 19–7, shots on target 8–2, expected goals 2.41–1.07, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Venezia's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Venezia's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.91 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.91 goals/match1.32 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Venezia show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Venezia's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

16.2 shots/match ▲ShotsInter · Venezia11.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricInterVeneziaBaseline
Shots16.2 shots/match11.4 shots/match13.7 shots/match
Shots against9.82 shots/match15 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Inter have recorded the higher season possession share.

60.5% ●PossessionInter · Venezia44%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 16.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricInterVeneziaBaseline
Possession60.5%44%48.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots7 shotsInter 19 shots, Venezia 7 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots2 shotsInter 8 shots, Venezia 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.41 xG1.07 xGInter 2.41 xG, Venezia 1.07 xG
  • Possession57%43%Inter 57%, Venezia 43%
  • Corners9 corners3 cornersInter 9 corners, Venezia 3 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls15 foulsInter 15 fouls, Venezia 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Nicolò Barella · Inter · 5′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Barella · Inter · 49′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJay Idzes · Venezia · 53′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Thuram · Inter · 60′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDenzel Dumfries · Inter · 61′ · 0.02 xG · on targetPiotr Zieliński · Inter · 77′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 77′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 88′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAlessandro Bastoni · Inter · 17′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHans Nicolussi Caviglia · Venezia · 82′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Martínez · Inter · 6′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFederico Dimarco · Inter · 35′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJoel Pohjanpalo · Venezia · 56′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedStefan de Vrij · Inter · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJoel Pohjanpalo · Venezia · 41′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedDenzel Dumfries · Inter · 49′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJohn Yeboah · Venezia · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Thuram · Inter · 28′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedHenrikh Mkhitaryan · Inter · 57′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Martínez · Inter · 14′ · 0.17 xG · on targetJoel Pohjanpalo · Venezia · 53′ · 0.18 xG · on targetMarcus Thuram · Inter · 33′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Thuram · Inter · 67′ · 0.32 xG · on targetHenrikh Mkhitaryan · Inter · 35′ · 0.38 xG · on targetLautaro Martínez · Inter · 65′ · 0.56 xG · goalGaetano Oristanio · Venezia · 41′ · 0.58 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Inter: 19 shots, 8 on target, 2.35 xG. Venezia: 7 shots, 2 on target, 1.09 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Lautaro Martínez · Inter · 65′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Inter 2.35 xG · Venezia 1.09 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Inter
0Draws
0Venezia
Inter — Venezia · Serie A2–1
Venezia — Inter · Serie A0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Inter favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Venezia in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Inter11 matchesVenezia11 matches
2.27 goals/match ▲Goals scored11/110.91 goals/match
1.18 goals/match ▲Goals allowed11/111.73 goals/match
1.84 xG/match ▲Expected goals11/111.03 xG/match
16.2 shots/match ▲Shots11/1111.4 shots/match
5.82 shots/match ▲Shots on target11/113.55 shots/match
60.5% ●Possession11/1144%
7 corners/match ●Corners11/112.91 corners/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls11/1111.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 3 Nov 2024, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsInterVenezia
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024/25
Head-to-headInter — Venezia
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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