PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Juventus 2–2 Bologna · Serie A

2–2Historical match

Bologna

WWWLW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Juventus and Bologna drew 2–2.

Shots
1010
Shots on target
34
Expected goals
1.010.93
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Juventus and Bologna drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Juventus – Bologna): shots 10–10, shots on target 3–4, expected goals 1.01–0.93, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Bologna's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Bologna's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.43 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.43 goals/match1.21 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Bologna have a visible away split

moderate

Bologna's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11 shots/match13.1 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Bologna show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Bologna's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.7 shots/match ▲ShotsJuventus · Bologna13.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricJuventusBolognaBaseline
Shots12.7 shots/match13.1 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against8.33 shots/match10.9 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots10 shotsJuventus 10 shots, Bologna 10 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots4 shotsJuventus 3 shots, Bologna 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.01 xG0.93 xGJuventus 1.01 xG, Bologna 0.93 xG
  • Possession54%46%Juventus 54%, Bologna 46%
  • Corners1 corner4 cornersJuventus 1 corner, Bologna 4 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls14 foulsJuventus 18 fouls, Bologna 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Juan Miranda · Bologna · 20′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBenjamín Domínguez · Bologna · 55′ · 0.01 xG · on targetTimothy Weah · Juventus · 73′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSantiago Castro · Bologna · 74′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDan Ndoye · Bologna · 6′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDušan Vlahović · Juventus · 57′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBenjamín Domínguez · Bologna · 70′ · 0.03 xG · on targetNicolò Fagioli · Juventus · 2′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDan Ndoye · Bologna · 10′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJuan Miranda · Bologna · 19′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFrancisco Conceição · Juventus · 35′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJhon Lucumí · Bologna · 62′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDušan Vlahović · Juventus · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDan Ndoye · Bologna · 30′ · 0.10 xG · goalKhéphren Thuram · Juventus · 79′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Mbangula · Juventus · 90′ · 0.12 xG · goalDušan Vlahović · Juventus · 45′ · 0.13 xG · on targetNicolò Fagioli · Juventus · 34′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedTeun Koopmeiners · Juventus · 62′ · 0.25 xG · goalTommaso Pobega · Bologna · 52′ · 0.57 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Juventus: 10 shots, 3 on target, 1.02 xG. Bologna: 10 shots, 4 on target, 0.89 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Teun Koopmeiners · Juventus · 62′Samuel Mbangula · Juventus · 90′Dan Ndoye · Bologna · 30′Tommaso Pobega · Bologna · 52′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Juventus 1.02 xG · Bologna 0.89 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Juventus
4Draws
0Bologna
Bologna — Juventus · Serie A3–3
Juventus — Bologna · Serie A1–1
Bologna — Juventus · Serie A1–1
Juventus — Bologna · Serie A3–0
Juventus — Bologna · Serie A1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Juventus favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Bologna in 3 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Juventus15 matchesBologna14 matches
1.6 goals/match ▲Goals scored15/141.43 goals/match
0.67 goals/match ▲Goals allowed15/141.29 goals/match
1.39 xG/match ▲Expected goals15/141.2 xG/match
12.7 shots/matchShots15/1413.1 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target15/14▲ 4.36 shots/match
60.7% ●Possession15/1457.1%
5 corners/match ●Corners15/144.71 corners/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls15/1415 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples15 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 7 Dec 2024, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsJuventusBologna
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024/25
Head-to-headJuventus — Bologna
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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