PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Monza 1–2 Cagliari · Serie A

Monza

DLLLL
1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Cagliari won 1–2.

Shots
613
Shots on target
24
Expected goals
1.580.85
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Cagliari beat Monza 2–1. Recorded in this match (Monza – Cagliari): shots 6–13, shots on target 2–4, expected goals 1.58–0.85, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Monza's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Monza's last-five shots average is above their season average.

13.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season9.26 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots13.8 shots/match9.26 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Monza have a visible home split

moderate

Monza's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

11 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season9.26 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11 shots/match9.26 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

moderate

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

14.2 fouls/matchFoulsMonza · Cagliari13.6 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricMonzaCagliariBaseline
Fouls14.2 fouls/match13.6 fouls/match11.8 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots13 shotsMonza 6 shots, Cagliari 13 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots4 shotsMonza 2 shots, Cagliari 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.58 xG0.85 xGMonza 1.58 xG, Cagliari 0.85 xG
  • Possession53%47%Monza 53%, Cagliari 47%
  • Corners1 corner3 cornersMonza 1 corner, Cagliari 3 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls19 foulsMonza 16 fouls, Cagliari 19 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Nadir Zortea · Cagliari · 8′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Viola · Cagliari · 57′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAdam Obert · Cagliari · 14′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Viola · Cagliari · 70′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSebastiano Luperto · Cagliari · 31′ · 0.04 xG · on targetStefano Sensi · Monza · 49′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMattia Felici · Cagliari · 2′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Viola · Cagliari · 15′ · 0.06 xG · on targetNadir Zortea · Cagliari · 22′ · 0.06 xG · goalMichel Adopo · Cagliari · 42′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRoberto Piccoli · Cagliari · 56′ · 0.07 xG · goalMilan Đurić · Monza · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Lapadula · Cagliari · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedWarren Bondo · Monza · 40′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedRoberto Piccoli · Cagliari · 33′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedRoberto Piccoli · Cagliari · 14′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Ciurria · Monza · 3′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedPedro Pereira · Monza · 61′ · 0.33 xG · on targetGianluca Caprari · Monza · 6′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Monza: 6 shots, 2 on target, 1.61 xG. Cagliari: 13 shots, 4 on target, 0.82 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Gianluca Caprari · Monza · 6′Nadir Zortea · Cagliari · 22′Roberto Piccoli · Cagliari · 56′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Monza 1.61 xG · Cagliari 0.82 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Monza
1Draws
0Cagliari
Monza — Cagliari · Serie A1–0
Cagliari — Monza · Serie A1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Monza favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Cagliari in 5 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Monza19 matchesCagliari19 matches
0.89 goals/matchGoals scored19/19▲ 0.95 goals/match
1.42 goals/match ▲Goals allowed19/191.68 goals/match
0.94 xG/matchExpected goals19/19▲ 1.35 xG/match
9.26 shots/matchShots19/19▲ 13.2 shots/match
2.74 shots/matchShots on target19/19▲ 3.68 shots/match
48.7% ●Possession19/1947.5%
3.79 corners/matchCorners19/19● 5.74 corners/match
14.2 fouls/matchFouls19/1913.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 5 Jan 2025, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMonzaCagliari
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024/25
Head-to-headMonza — Cagliari
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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