PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Lazio 5–1 Monza · Serie A

Lazio

LDWLW
5–1Historical match

Monza

LWLLL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lazio won 5–1.

Shots
263
Shots on target
91
Expected goals
2.870.9
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lazio beat Monza 5–1. Recorded in this match (Lazio – Monza): shots 26–3, shots on target 9–1, expected goals 2.87–0.9, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Monza's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Monza's last-five shots average is below their season average.

6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season8.58 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots6 shots/match8.58 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Monza have a visible away split

strong

Monza's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

6.42 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season8.58 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots6.42 shots/match8.58 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Monza show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Monza's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLazio · Monza8.58 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLazioMonzaBaseline
Shots14.4 shots/match8.58 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against10.5 shots/match14 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots26 shots3 shotsLazio 26 shots, Monza 3 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots1 shotLazio 9 shots, Monza 1 shot
  • Expected goals2.87 xG0.9 xGLazio 2.87 xG, Monza 0.9 xG
  • Possession61%39%Lazio 61%, Monza 39%
  • Corners8 corners1 cornerLazio 8 corners, Monza 1 corner
  • Fouls10 fouls12 foulsLazio 10 fouls, Monza 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Valentín Castellanos · Lazio · 11′ · 0.01 xG · on targetMattia Zaccagni · Lazio · 13′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMattéo Guendouzi · Lazio · 23′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGustav Isaksen · Lazio · 23′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 25′ · 0.02 xG · on targetNuno Tavares · Lazio · 54′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 21′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPedro · Lazio · 49′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAdam Marušić · Lazio · 54′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMattia Zaccagni · Lazio · 30′ · 0.04 xG · on targetGeorgios Kyriakopoulos · Monza · 75′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 26′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNuno Tavares · Lazio · 47′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGustav Isaksen · Lazio · 51′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMattia Zaccagni · Lazio · 16′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 26′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedPedro Pereira · Monza · 65′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedFisayo Dele-Bashiru · Lazio · 88′ · 0.07 xG · goalPedro · Lazio · 45′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 19′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedBoulaye Dia · Lazio · 34′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedAlessio Romagnoli · Lazio · 13′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 63′ · 0.17 xG · goalFisayo Dele-Bashiru · Lazio · 70′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 18′ · 0.31 xG · off target or blockedPedro · Lazio · 77′ · 0.33 xG · goalPedro · Lazio · 57′ · 0.40 xG · goalAdam Marušić · Lazio · 31′ · 0.70 xG · goalStefano Sensi · Monza · 86′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lazio: 26 shots, 10 on target, 3.14 xG. Monza: 3 shots, 1 on target, 0.93 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Adam Marušić · Lazio · 31′Pedro · Lazio · 57′Valentín Castellanos · Lazio · 63′Pedro · Lazio · 77′Fisayo Dele-Bashiru · Lazio · 88′Stefano Sensi · Monza · 86′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lazio 3.14 xG · Monza 0.93 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Lazio
2Draws
0Monza
Monza — Lazio · Serie A0–1
Monza — Lazio · Serie A2–2
Lazio — Monza · Serie A1–1
Monza — Lazio · Serie A0–2
Lazio — Monza · Serie A1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lazio favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Monza in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lazio24 matchesMonza24 matches
1.88 goals/match ▲Goals scored24/240.88 goals/match
1.33 goals/match ▲Goals allowed24/241.63 goals/match
1.6 xG/match ▲Expected goals24/240.87 xG/match
14.4 shots/match ▲Shots24/248.58 shots/match
5.29 shots/match ▲Shots on target24/242.5 shots/match
55.2% ●Possession24/2448%
6.21 corners/match ●Corners24/243.67 corners/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls24/2414.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 9 Feb 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLazioMonza
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024/25
Head-to-headLazio — Monza
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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