PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Lecce 0–1 Udinese · Serie A

Lecce

LLWDD
0–1Historical match

Udinese

LLWDW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Udinese won 0–1.

Shots
1012
Shots on target
15
Expected goals
0.321.43
Possession
45%55%

Full time

What the match recorded

Udinese beat Lecce 1–0. Recorded in this match (Lecce – Udinese): shots 10–12, shots on target 1–5, expected goals 0.32–1.43, possession 45%–55%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Udinese's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Udinese's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.27 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.27 goals/match1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots12 shotsLecce 10 shots, Udinese 12 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot5 shotsLecce 1 shot, Udinese 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.32 xG1.43 xGLecce 0.32 xG, Udinese 1.43 xG
  • Possession45%55%Lecce 45%, Udinese 55%
  • Corners11 corners8 cornersLecce 11 corners, Udinese 8 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls11 foulsLecce 15 fouls, Udinese 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Frédéric Guilbert · Lecce · 59′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJürgen Ekkelenkamp · Udinese · 10′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlexis Sánchez · Udinese · 10′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSantiago Pierotti · Lecce · 25′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMedon Berisha · Lecce · 64′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJesper Karlsson · Lecce · 74′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSantiago Pierotti · Lecce · 25′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Lecce · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMedon Berisha · Lecce · 59′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMedon Berisha · Lecce · 83′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMartín Payero · Udinese · 86′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIker Bravo · Udinese · 71′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIker Bravo · Udinese · 53′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJaka Bijol · Udinese · 54′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMartín Payero · Udinese · 85′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedArthur Atta · Udinese · 87′ · 0.05 xG · on targetHassane Kamara · Udinese · 6′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Lecce · 56′ · 0.10 xG · on targetNikola Krstović · Lecce · 73′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Thauvin · Udinese · 38′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Lucca · Udinese · 6′ · 0.30 xG · on targetLorenzo Lucca · Udinese · 32′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lecce: 10 shots, 1 on target, 0.39 xG. Udinese: 12 shots, 5 on target, 1.64 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Lorenzo Lucca · Udinese · 32′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lecce 0.39 xG · Udinese 1.64 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Lecce
2Draws
2Udinese
Udinese — Lecce · Serie A1–0
Lecce — Udinese · Serie A0–2
Udinese — Lecce · Serie A1–1
Lecce — Udinese · Serie A1–0
Udinese — Lecce · Serie A1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lecce favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Udinese in 8 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lecce26 matchesUdinese26 matches
0.69 goals/matchGoals scored26/26▲ 1.27 goals/match
1.62 goals/matchGoals allowed26/26▲ 1.42 goals/match
0.92 xG/matchExpected goals26/26▲ 1.01 xG/match
11.7 shots/match ▲Shots26/2610.9 shots/match
3.27 shots/matchShots on target26/26▲ 3.69 shots/match
44.3%Possession26/26● 47%
4.23 corners/matchCorners26/26● 4.65 corners/match
12.7 fouls/matchFouls26/2613.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 21 Feb 2025, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLecceUdinese
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024/25
Head-to-headLecce — Udinese
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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