Serie A · 2024

Inter 3–2 Monza · Serie A

Inter

LWLWD
3–2Historical match

Monza

LLDLL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Inter won 3–2.

Shots
308
Shots on target
94
Expected goals
2.610.65
Possession
69%31%

Full time

What the match recorded

Inter beat Monza 3–2. Recorded in this match (Inter – Monza): shots 30–8, shots on target 9–4, expected goals 2.61–0.65, possession 69%–31%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Inter's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Inter's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.25 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match2.25 goals/match1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Inter show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Inter's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16 shots/match ▲ShotsInter · Monza8.43 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricInterMonzaBaseline
Shots16 shots/match8.43 shots/match11.9 shots/match
Shots against9.71 shots/match15.1 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Monza have a visible away split

moderate

Monza's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

6.43 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season8.43 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots6.43 shots/match8.43 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots30 shots8 shotsInter 30 shots, Monza 8 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots4 shotsInter 9 shots, Monza 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.61 xG0.65 xGInter 2.61 xG, Monza 0.65 xG
  • Possession69%31%Inter 69%, Monza 31%
  • Corners13 corners1 cornerInter 13 corners, Monza 1 corner
  • Fouls8 fouls7 foulsInter 8 fouls, Monza 7 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Inter
2Draws
1Monza
Monza — Inter · Serie A1–1
Monza — Inter · Serie A1–5
Inter — Monza · Serie A2–0
Inter — Monza · Serie A0–1
Monza — Inter · Serie A2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Inter favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Monza in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Inter28 matchesMonza28 matches
2.25 goals/match ▲Goals scored28/280.82 goals/match
0.96 goals/match ▲Goals allowed28/281.71 goals/match
1.85 xG/match ▲Expected goals28/280.82 xG/match
16 shots/match ▲Shots28/288.43 shots/match
5.5 shots/match ▲Shots on target28/282.54 shots/match
59.6% ●Possession28/2847.4%
6.36 corners/match ●Corners28/283.43 corners/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls28/2813.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 8 Mar 2025, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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