PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Hellas Verona 1–1 Lecce · Serie A

1–1Historical match

Lecce

DLLDL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Hellas Verona and Lecce drew 1–1.

Shots
611
Shots on target
23
Expected goals
0.321.11
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Hellas Verona and Lecce drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Hellas Verona – Lecce): shots 6–11, shots on target 2–3, expected goals 0.32–1.11, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Hellas Verona's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Hellas Verona's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.86 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.86 goals/match1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots11 shotsHellas Verona 6 shots, Lecce 11 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots3 shotsHellas Verona 2 shots, Lecce 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.32 xG1.11 xGHellas Verona 0.32 xG, Lecce 1.11 xG
  • Possession51%49%Hellas Verona 51%, Lecce 49%
  • Corners3 corners6 cornersHellas Verona 3 corners, Lecce 6 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls15 foulsHellas Verona 17 fouls, Lecce 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Balthazar Pierret · Lecce · 4′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedDaniele Ghilardi · Hellas Verona · 45′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedTete Morente · Lecce · 14′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTete Morente · Lecce · 16′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJackson Tchatchoua · Hellas Verona · 50′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTete Morente · Lecce · 53′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Lecce · 43′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Mosquera · Hellas Verona · 77′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLameck Banda · Lecce · 83′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSuat Serdar · Hellas Verona · 49′ · 0.04 xG · on targetTete Morente · Lecce · 39′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDanilo Veiga · Lecce · 63′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMedon Berisha · Lecce · 79′ · 0.05 xG · on targetDiego Coppola · Hellas Verona · 41′ · 0.08 xG · goalDiego Coppola · Hellas Verona · 57′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedLameck Banda · Lecce · 60′ · 0.36 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Lecce · 23′ · 0.50 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Hellas Verona: 6 shots, 2 on target, 0.32 xG. Lecce: 11 shots, 3 on target, 1.12 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Diego Coppola · Hellas Verona · 41′Nikola Krstović · Lecce · 23′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Hellas Verona 0.32 xG · Lecce 1.12 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Hellas Verona
1Draws
1Lecce
Lecce — Hellas Verona · Serie A1–0
Lecce — Hellas Verona · Serie A0–1
Hellas Verona — Lecce · Serie A2–2
Lecce — Hellas Verona · Serie A0–1
Hellas Verona — Lecce · Serie A2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Hellas Verona favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Lecce in 3 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Hellas Verona36 matchesLecce36 matches
0.86 goals/match ▲Goals scored36/360.69 goals/match
1.78 goals/matchGoals allowed36/36▲ 1.61 goals/match
0.89 xG/matchExpected goals36/360.94 xG/match
9.81 shots/matchShots36/36▲ 12.1 shots/match
2.58 shots/matchShots on target36/36▲ 3.28 shots/match
38.9%Possession36/36● 44%
4.06 corners/matchCorners36/36● 4.39 corners/match
14.9 fouls/matchFouls36/3612.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples36 / 36home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 May 2025, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsHellas VeronaLecce
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024/25
Head-to-headHellas Verona — Lecce
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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