La Liga · 2023Fri, 11 Aug 2023, 17:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
02Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricAlmeríaRayo Vallecano
Shots19 shots/match10 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match4 shots/match
Expected goals1.39 xG/match2.07 xG/match
Possession60%40%
Corners8 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls16 fouls/match25 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Lucas Robertone · Almería · 25′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIddrisu Baba · Almería · 37′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSergio Arribas · Almería · 60′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLargie Ramazani · Almería · 58′ · 0.02 xG · on targetIsi Palazón · Rayo Vallecano · 71′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDion Lopy · Almería · 80′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLuis Javier Suárez · Almería · 85′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLázaro · Almería · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLargie Ramazani · Almería · 59′ · 0.03 xG · on targetSergio Arribas · Almería · 69′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSergio Arribas · Almería · 74′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRandy Nteka · Rayo Vallecano · 81′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSrđan Babić · Almería · 53′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAdrián Embarba · Almería · 54′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAdrián Embarba · Almería · 62′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSergio Akieme · Almería · 79′ · 0.04 xG · on targetPacha · Rayo Vallecano · 82′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAdrián Embarba · Almería · 12′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedÓscar Trejo · Rayo Vallecano · 45′ · 0.05 xG · on targetUnai López · Rayo Vallecano · 45′ · 0.05 xG · on targetUnai López · Rayo Vallecano · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLuis Javier Suárez · Almería · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRandy Nteka · Rayo Vallecano · 4′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLuis Javier Suárez · Almería · 39′ · 0.10 xG · on targetIsi Palazón · Rayo Vallecano · 10′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedIddrisu Baba · Almería · 30′ · 0.40 xG · off target or blockedLuis Javier Suárez · Almería · 34′ · 0.45 xG · on targetIsi Palazón · Rayo Vallecano · 20′ · 0.82 xG · goalRandy Nteka · Rayo Vallecano · 28′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Almería: 19 shots, 5 on target, 1.42 xG. Rayo Vallecano: 10 shots, 4 on target, 2.14 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Isi Palazón · Rayo Vallecano · 20′Randy Nteka · Rayo Vallecano · 28′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Almería 1.42 xG · Rayo Vallecano 2.14 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Almería
0Draws
1Rayo Vallecano
Rayo VallecanoAlmería · La Liga20
AlmeríaRayo Vallecano · La Liga31

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Unavailable analysis

The retained evidence does not clear the minimum gates.

Sections that would imply a supported comparison are intentionally omitted.

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · Unavailableunavailable
Season samples1 / 1home / away teams
Recent samples1 / 1last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 11 Aug 2023, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4