Premier League · 2023Fri, 11 Aug 2023, 19:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
03Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricBurnleyManchester City
Shots6 shots/match17 shots/match
Shots on target1 shots/match8 shots/match
Expected goals0.33 xG/match2.08 xG/match
Possession34%66%
Corners6 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls11 fouls/match8 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Rodri · Manchester City · 55′ · 0.01 xG · on targetKevin De Bruyne · Manchester City · 6′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRodri · Manchester City · 55′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJacob Bruun Larsen · Burnley · 82′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPhil Foden · Manchester City · 88′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedZeki Amdouni · Burnley · 18′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLyle Foster · Burnley · 29′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPhil Foden · Manchester City · 53′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAnass Zaroury · Burnley · 80′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAymeric Laporte · Manchester City · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetRodri · Manchester City · 67′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedErling Haaland · Manchester City · 52′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJulián Alvarez · Manchester City · 60′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLuca Koleosho · Burnley · 15′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJulián Alvarez · Manchester City · 86′ · 0.09 xG · on targetLyle Foster · Burnley · 37′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedErling Haaland · Manchester City · 36′ · 0.13 xG · goalErling Haaland · Manchester City · 4′ · 0.17 xG · goalJulián Alvarez · Manchester City · 79′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedErling Haaland · Manchester City · 11′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedPhil Foden · Manchester City · 45′ · 0.23 xG · on targetNathan Aké · Manchester City · 75′ · 0.32 xG · off target or blockedRodri · Manchester City · 75′ · 0.40 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Burnley: 6 shots, 1 on target, 0.32 xG. Manchester City: 17 shots, 8 on target, 2.05 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Erling Haaland · Manchester City · 4′Erling Haaland · Manchester City · 36′Rodri · Manchester City · 75′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Burnley 0.32 xG · Manchester City 2.05 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Burnley
0Draws
2Manchester City
BurnleyManchester City · Premier League02
Manchester CityBurnley · Premier League20

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Unavailable analysis

The retained evidence does not clear the minimum gates.

Sections that would imply a supported comparison are intentionally omitted.

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · Unavailableunavailable
Season samples1 / 1home / away teams
Recent samples1 / 1last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 11 Aug 2023, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4