Premier League · 2023Sat, 19 Aug 2023, 14:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
03Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricFulhamBrentford
Shots10 shots/match17 shots/match
Shots on target2 shots/match8 shots/match
Expected goals0.46 xG/match3.93 xG/match
Possession55%45%
Corners5 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls13 fouls/match12 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Yoane Wissa · Brentford · 3′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBobby De Cordova-Reid · Fulham · 34′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAndreas Pereira · Fulham · 9′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMathias Jensen · Brentford · 19′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIssa Diop · Fulham · 22′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedChristian Nørgaard · Brentford · 24′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRaúl Jiménez · Fulham · 69′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHarry Wilson · Fulham · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetRaúl Jiménez · Fulham · 50′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHarry Wilson · Fulham · 58′ · 0.03 xG · on targetYoane Wissa · Brentford · 28′ · 0.04 xG · on targetEthan Pinnock · Brentford · 75′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMathias Jensen · Brentford · 54′ · 0.06 xG · on targetWillian · Fulham · 82′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedYoane Wissa · Brentford · 38′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedIssa Diop · Fulham · 6′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedBryan Mbeumo · Brentford · 15′ · 0.11 xG · on targetNathan Collins · Brentford · 46′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedYoane Wissa · Brentford · 24′ · 0.12 xG · on targetKristoffer Ajer · Brentford · 90′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedBobby De Cordova-Reid · Fulham · 53′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedYoane Wissa · Brentford · 62′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedKeane Lewis-Potter · Brentford · 90′ · 0.27 xG · on targetYoane Wissa · Brentford · 44′ · 0.32 xG · goalYoane Wissa · Brentford · 75′ · 0.53 xG · off target or blockedBryan Mbeumo · Brentford · 66′ · 0.82 xG · goalBryan Mbeumo · Brentford · 90′ · 0.92 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Fulham: 10 shots, 2 on target, 0.48 xG. Brentford: 17 shots, 8 on target, 3.88 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0240′HT90′Yoane Wissa · Brentford · 44′Bryan Mbeumo · Brentford · 66′Bryan Mbeumo · Brentford · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Fulham 0.48 xG · Brentford 3.88 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Fulham
0Draws
1Brentford
BrentfordFulham · Premier League32
FulhamBrentford · Premier League32

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Fulham favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Brentford in 0 · 13 too close

Goals scoredseason · 2/2
Goals allowedseason · 2/2
Expected goalsseason · 2/2
Expected goals allowedseason · 2/2
Shotsseason · 2/2
Shots allowedseason · 2/2
Shots on targetseason · 2/2
Shots on target allowedseason · 2/2
Possessionseason · 2/2
Cornersseason · 2/2
Corners allowedseason · 2/2
Cardsseason · 0/0
Foulsseason · 2/2
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 2/2
Scoring frequencyseason · 2/2

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Fulham
Brentford
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Fulham
Brentford
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Fulham
Brentford
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Fulham
Brentford
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Fulham
Brentford
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Fulham
Brentford
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Fulham
Brentford
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Fulham2 matchesBrentford2 matches
Goals scored2/2
Goals allowed2/2
Expected goals2/2
Shots2/2
Shots on target2/2
Possession2/2
Corners2/2
Cards0/0
Fouls2/2

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Fulham1 matchesBrentford1 matches
Goals scored1/1
Goals allowed1/1
Expected goals1/1
Shots1/1
Shots on target1/1
Possession1/1
Corners1/1
Cards0/0
Fouls1/1

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.04 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples2 / 2home / away teams
Recent samples2 / 2last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 19 Aug 2023, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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