Chelsea
Premier League · 2024This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.
This match
Match statistics
| Metric | Chelsea | Manchester City |
|---|---|---|
| Shots | 10 shots/match | 11 shots/match▲ |
| Shots on target | 3 shots/match | 5 shots/match▲ |
| Expected goals | 1.01 xG/match▲ | 0.77 xG/match |
| Possession | 48% | 52%● |
| Corners | 4 corners/match● | 3 corners/match |
| Fouls | 12 fouls/match | 9 fouls/match |
Every shot
Shot map
Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.
- off target
- on target
- goal
- penalty
- size = xG
Chelsea: 10 shots, 3 on target, 1.00 xG. Manchester City: 11 shots, 5 on target, 0.78 xG.
How the match built
Expected-goals timeline
Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.
The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Chelsea 1.00 xG · Manchester City 0.78 xG.
30-second read
What the record shows
The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.
Season-opening preview
Current-season evidence is still building.
This competition's new season has only just started, so PitchMath does not yet hold enough completed matches for a current-season grade. The comparison below is last season's recorded data, shown as historical context.
1 / 2 matches toward the first current-season grade
Current season so far
Completed matches in the season being played. Kept separate from the historical block below.
- Chelsea1 matches
- Manchester City1 matches
Previous-season context
Recorded season totals from the source competition. Not current form.
Both clubs played the same competition and season, so these values are directly comparable.
Chelsea
- Competition
- Premier League
- Season
- 2023/24
- Sample
- 38 matches
- Profile grade
- A
- Data cutoff
- 19 May 2024
- Goals scored2.03 goals/match
- Goals allowed1.66 goals/match
- Expected goals1.98 xG/match
- Expected goals allowed1.55 xG/match
- Shots14.4 shots/match
- Shots allowed14.6 shots/match
- Shots on target5.66 shots/match
- Shots on target allowed4.95 shots/match
- Possession58.9%
- Corners5.32 corners/match
- Corners allowed5 corners/match
- Fouls11.7 fouls/match
- Clean-sheet frequency21%
- Scoring frequency84%
Manchester City
- Competition
- Premier League
- Season
- 2023/24
- Sample
- 38 matches
- Profile grade
- A
- Data cutoff
- 19 May 2024
- Goals scored2.53 goals/match
- Goals allowed0.89 goals/match
- Expected goals2.16 xG/match
- Expected goals allowed0.94 xG/match
- Shots18.2 shots/match
- Shots allowed7.74 shots/match
- Shots on target7.41 shots/match
- Shots on target allowed2.95 shots/match
- Possession65.4%
- Corners7.53 corners/match
- Corners allowed3.39 corners/match
- Fouls7.61 fouls/match
- Clean-sheet frequency34%
- Scoring frequency92%
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
- At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
- Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
- The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
- The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
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