Saudi Pro League · 2026Full timeFull-time analysis
21Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricNeom SCAl-Fayha
Shots15 shots 13 shots
Shots on target5 shots5 shots
Expected goals1.1 xG 1.09 xG
Possession54% 46%
Corners3 corners4 corners
Fouls5 fouls11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Hugo Moura · Al-Fayha · 20′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSaïd Benrahma · Neom SC · 23′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAbdullah Al-Qahtani · Al-Fayha · 56′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFashion Sakala · Al-Fayha · 73′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJason · Al-Fayha · 3′ · 0.03 xG · on targetSaïd Benrahma · Neom SC · 7′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAmadou Koné · Neom SC · 10′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIslam Ahmed Hawsawi · Neom SC · 13′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAbdulmalik Al Oyayari · Neom SC · 61′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGiorgos Masouras · Neom SC · 47′ · 0.05 xG · on targetFashion Sakala · Al-Fayha · 84′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGiorgos Masouras · Neom SC · 53′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSilvère Ganvoula · Al-Fayha · 88′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAbdulmalik Al Oyayari · Neom SC · 24′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedSilvère Ganvoula · Al-Fayha · 70′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAlexandre Lacazette · Neom SC · 16′ · 0.08 xG · on targetAbdulmalik Al Oyayari · Neom SC · 9′ · 0.09 xG · on targetSaïd Benrahma · Neom SC · 56′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedNawaf Al-Harthi · Al-Fayha · 57′ · 0.10 xG · on targetAbdulmalik Al Oyayari · Neom SC · 11′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedAlexandre Lacazette · Neom SC · 16′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedAmadou Koné · Neom SC · 26′ · 0.12 xG · goalSaïd Benrahma · Neom SC · 36′ · 0.12 xG · goalSilvère Ganvoula · Al-Fayha · 50′ · 0.12 xG · on targetSilvère Ganvoula · Al-Fayha · 90′ · 0.12 xG · on targetHugo Moura · Al-Fayha · 75′ · 0.13 xG · goalSilvère Ganvoula · Al-Fayha · 90′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedSilvère Ganvoula · Al-Fayha · 45′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Neom SC: 15 shots, 5 on target, 1.07 xG. Al-Fayha: 13 shots, 5 on target, 1.10 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Amadou Koné · Neom SC · 26′Saïd Benrahma · Neom SC · 36′Hugo Moura · Al-Fayha · 75′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Neom SC 1.07 xG · Al-Fayha 1.10 xG.

Full time

What the match recorded

Neom SC beat Al-Fayha 2–1. Recorded in this match (Neom SC – Al-Fayha): shots 15–13, shots on target 5–5, expected goals 1.1–1.09, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

Last 5 meetings

1Neom SC
1Draws
0Al-Fayha
Neom SCAl-Fayha · Saudi Pro League10
Al-FayhaNeom SC · Saudi Pro League11

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Season-opening preview

Current-season evidence is still building.

This competition's new season has only just started, so PitchMath does not yet hold enough completed matches for a current-season grade. The comparison below is last season's recorded data, shown as historical context.

1 / 2 matches toward the first current-season grade

Current season so far

Completed matches in the season being played. Kept separate from the historical block below.

  • Neom SC1 matches
  • Al-Fayha1 matches

Previous-season context

Recorded season totals from the source competition. Not current form.

Both clubs played the same competition and season, so these values are directly comparable.

Neom SC

Competition
Saudi Pro League
Season
2025/26
Sample
34 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
21 May 2026
  • Goals scored1.26 goals/match
  • Goals allowed1.41 goals/match
  • Expected goals1.46 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed1.36 xG/match
  • Shots13 shots/match
  • Shots allowed11.7 shots/match
  • Shots on target4.71 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed4.44 shots/match
  • Possession52.6%
  • Corners4.76 corners/match
  • Corners allowed4.41 corners/match
  • Cards2 cards/match
  • Fouls11.7 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency18%
  • Scoring frequency79%

Al-Fayha

Competition
Saudi Pro League
Season
2025/26
Sample
34 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
21 May 2026
  • Goals scored1.21 goals/match
  • Goals allowed1.59 goals/match
  • Expected goals1.05 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed1.33 xG/match
  • Shots10.1 shots/match
  • Shots allowed12.6 shots/match
  • Shots on target3.18 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed4.53 shots/match
  • Possession44.8%
  • Corners4.53 corners/match
  • Corners allowed5.62 corners/match
  • Cards1.68 cards/match
  • Fouls10.5 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency21%
  • Scoring frequency68%

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · UnavailableUnavailableunavailable
Season samples1 / 1home / away teams
Recent samples1 / 1last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 14 Aug 2026, 20:50 UTC · analysis-v4