Saudi Pro League · 2026Full timeFull-time analysis
42Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricAl-HilalAl-Faisaly
Shots16 shots 8 shots
Shots on target5 shots5 shots
Expected goals4.5 xG 1.82 xG
Possession50%50%
Corners7 corners 1 corner
Fouls18 fouls15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Abdulrahman Al-Shereaf · Al-Faisaly · 33′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAbdullah Almogren · Al-Faisaly · 47′ · 0.02 xG · on targetCrysencio Summerville · Al-Hilal · 11′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCrysencio Summerville · Al-Hilal · 11′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMalcom · Al-Hilal · 55′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMoteb Al-Harbi · Al-Hilal · 54′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCrysencio Summerville · Al-Hilal · 21′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKarim Benzema · Al-Hilal · 44′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAlexandre Mendy · Al-Faisaly · 74′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Kader Meite · Al-Hilal · 89′ · 0.09 xG · on targetJaime Seoane · Al-Faisaly · 42′ · 0.10 xG · on targetMalcom · Al-Hilal · 26′ · 0.15 xG · goalThéo Bongonda · Al-Faisaly · 64′ · 0.22 xG · goalMalcom · Al-Hilal · 4′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedCrysencio Summerville · Al-Hilal · 53′ · 0.34 xG · off target or blockedAlexandre Mendy · Al-Faisaly · 59′ · 0.34 xG · goalKalidou Koulibaly · Al-Hilal · 78′ · 0.34 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Kader Meite · Al-Hilal · 90′ · 0.35 xG · off target or blockedKalidou Koulibaly · Al-Hilal · 63′ · 0.38 xG · off target or blockedAlexandre Mendy · Al-Faisaly · 90′ · 0.46 xG · off target or blockedAlexandre Mendy · Al-Faisaly · 66′ · 0.59 xG · on targetKarim Benzema · Al-Hilal · 19′ · 0.82 xG · goalRúben Neves · Al-Hilal · 28′ · 0.82 xG · goalRúben Neves · Al-Hilal · 82′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Al-Hilal: 16 shots, 5 on target, 4.60 xG. Al-Faisaly: 8 shots, 5 on target, 1.84 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

02.550′HT90′Karim Benzema · Al-Hilal · 19′Malcom · Al-Hilal · 26′Rúben Neves · Al-Hilal · 28′Rúben Neves · Al-Hilal · 82′Alexandre Mendy · Al-Faisaly · 59′Théo Bongonda · Al-Faisaly · 64′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Al-Hilal 4.60 xG · Al-Faisaly 1.84 xG.

Full time

What the match recorded

Al-Hilal beat Al-Faisaly 4–2. Recorded in this match (Al-Hilal – Al-Faisaly): shots 16–8, shots on target 5–5, expected goals 4.5–1.82, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

Last 5 meetings

2Al-Hilal
0Draws
0Al-Faisaly
Al-HilalAl-Faisaly · Saudi Pro League21
Al-FaisalyAl-Hilal · Saudi Pro League23

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Limited historical context

PitchMath holds only part of the history for this match.

Current-season evidence is below the threshold and the previous-season record is incomplete, so only what is actually stored is shown.

1 / 2 matches toward the first current-season grade

Current season so far

Completed matches in the season being played. Kept separate from the historical block below.

  • Al-Hilal1 matches
  • Al-Faisaly1 matches

Previous-season context

Recorded season totals from the source competition. Not current form.

Al-Hilal

Competition
Saudi Pro League
Season
2025/26
Sample
34 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
21 May 2026
  • Goals scored2.5 goals/match
  • Goals allowed0.79 goals/match
  • Expected goals2.28 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed0.75 xG/match
  • Shots16 shots/match
  • Shots allowed8.38 shots/match
  • Shots on target6.91 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed2.59 shots/match
  • Possession59.3%
  • Corners6.5 corners/match
  • Corners allowed3.44 corners/match
  • Cards1.48 cards/match
  • Fouls10.5 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency47%
  • Scoring frequency97%

Al-Faisaly

No trustworthy previous-season profile is stored for this club.

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · UnavailableUnavailableunavailable
Season samples1 / 1home / away teams
Recent samples1 / 1last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 14 Aug 2026, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4