PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2026

RAAL La Louvière 2–2 KV Mechelen · Belgian Pro League

2–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

RAAL La Louvière and KV Mechelen drew 2–2.

Shots
1416
Shots on target
57
Expected goals
2.172.11
Possession
34%66%

Full time

What the match recorded

RAAL La Louvière and KV Mechelen drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (RAAL La Louvière – KV Mechelen): shots 14–16, shots on target 5–7, expected goals 2.17–2.11, possession 34%–66%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

KV Mechelen have recorded the higher season possession share.

38.7%PossessionRAAL La Louvière · KV Mechelen● 53%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricRAAL La LouvièreKV MechelenBaseline
Possession38.7%53%50.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots16 shotsRAAL La Louvière 14 shots, KV Mechelen 16 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots7 shotsRAAL La Louvière 5 shots, KV Mechelen 7 shots
  • Expected goals2.17 xG2.11 xGRAAL La Louvière 2.17 xG, KV Mechelen 2.11 xG
  • Possession34%66%RAAL La Louvière 34%, KV Mechelen 66%
  • Corners1 corner6 cornersRAAL La Louvière 1 corner, KV Mechelen 6 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls8 foulsRAAL La Louvière 10 fouls, KV Mechelen 8 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsRAAL La Louvière 2 cards, KV Mechelen 2 cards
  • Passes292 passes565 passesRAAL La Louvière 292 passes, KV Mechelen 565 passes
  • Pass accuracy66.8%82.7%RAAL La Louvière 66.8%, KV Mechelen 82.7%
  • Shots inside box10 shots13 shotsRAAL La Louvière 10 shots, KV Mechelen 13 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks2 blocksRAAL La Louvière 4 blocks, KV Mechelen 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves5 saves3 savesRAAL La Louvière 5 saves, KV Mechelen 3 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides5 offsidesRAAL La Louvière 0 offsides, KV Mechelen 5 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 6′Myron Van BrederodeGoal · KV Mechelen
  2. 13′Elias FiletGoal · RAAL La Louvière
  3. 15′Marius CourcoulYellow card · RAAL La Louvière
  4. 17′Wagane FayeYellow card · RAAL La Louvière
  5. 31′Fredrik HammarYellow card · KV Mechelen
  6. 45′Mustapha IsahGoal · RAAL La Louvière
  7. Half-time
  8. 47′Adeshina AyodeleGoal · KV Mechelen
  9. 85′Adeshina AyodeleYellow card · KV Mechelen
  10. Full time
Player changes · 9grouped by team and minute
  • 46′KV Mechelen · 2 player changesBilal Bafdili · Adeshina Ayodele
  • 73′KV Mechelen · 1 player changeSimion Michez
  • 76′RAAL La Louvière · 2 player changesMame Wade · Anas Tajaouart
  • 80′KV Mechelen · 1 player changeBouke Boersma
  • 85′RAAL La Louvière · 2 player changesSiad Gourville · Mátyás Kovács
  • 89′RAAL La Louvière · 1 player changeLéandro Rousseau

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0RAAL La Louvière
0Draws
2KV Mechelen
RAAL La Louvière — KV Mechelen · Belgian Pro League0–2
KV Mechelen — RAAL La Louvière · Belgian Pro League3–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: RAAL La Louvière favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · KV Mechelen in 0 · 13 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

RAAL La Louvière3 matchesKV Mechelen3 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored3/3▲ 1.67 goals/match
2 goals/match ▲Goals allowed3/32.33 goals/match
1.26 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲ 1.7 xG/match
12.7 shots/matchShots3/313.3 shots/match
5 shots/match ▲Shots on target3/33.67 shots/match
38.7%Possession3/3● 53%
2.67 corners/matchCorners3/3● 4.33 corners/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls3/310.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 29 Aug 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRAAL La LouvièreKV Mechelen
CompetitionBelgian Pro League
Head-to-headRAAL La Louvière — KV Mechelen
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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