PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2026

Cercle Brugge 0–1 Lommel SK · Belgian Pro League

0–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Lommel SK won 0–1.

Shots
1914
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
1.251.63
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lommel SK beat Cercle Brugge 1–0. Recorded in this match (Cercle Brugge – Lommel SK): shots 19–14, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 1.25–1.63, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cercle Brugge show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Cercle Brugge's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

19 shots/match ▲ShotsCercle Brugge · Lommel SK11.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCercle BruggeLommel SKBaseline
Shots19 shots/match11.7 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against14 shots/match19.7 shots/match14 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots14 shotsCercle Brugge 19 shots, Lommel SK 14 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsCercle Brugge 3 shots, Lommel SK 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.25 xG1.63 xGCercle Brugge 1.25 xG, Lommel SK 1.63 xG
  • Possession53%47%Cercle Brugge 53%, Lommel SK 47%
  • Corners9 corners4 cornersCercle Brugge 9 corners, Lommel SK 4 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls10 foulsCercle Brugge 10 fouls, Lommel SK 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards3 cardsCercle Brugge 2 cards, Lommel SK 3 cards
  • Passes450 passes416 passesCercle Brugge 450 passes, Lommel SK 416 passes
  • Pass accuracy82.9%80.3%Cercle Brugge 82.9%, Lommel SK 80.3%
  • Shots inside box13 shots9 shotsCercle Brugge 13 shots, Lommel SK 9 shots
  • Blocked shots8 blocks3 blocksCercle Brugge 8 blocks, Lommel SK 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves3 savesCercle Brugge 2 saves, Lommel SK 3 saves
  • Offsides3 offsides0 offsidesCercle Brugge 3 offsides, Lommel SK 0 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 13′Timothy EyomaYellow card · Lommel SK
  2. 27′Dries WoutersYellow card · Lommel SK
  3. 32′Geoffrey KondoYellow card · Cercle Brugge
  4. 34′Shawn AdewoyeYellow card · Lommel SK
  5. Half-time
  6. 61′Tom ReynersGoal · Lommel SK
  7. 87′Krys KouassiYellow card · Cercle Brugge
  8. Full time
Player changes · 8grouped by team and minute
  • 62′Cercle Brugge · 1 player changeLawrence Agyekum
  • 68′Lommel SK · 1 player changeAlexander Reumers
  • 69′Lommel SK · 1 player changeMohamed Salah El Boukammiri
  • 72′Cercle Brugge · 1 player changeLucas Michal
  • 77′Lommel SK · 1 player changeTristan Gooijer
  • 79′Cercle Brugge · 3 player changesErick Nunes · Lazare Amani · Krys Kouassi

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cercle Brugge favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Lommel SK in 0 · 13 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cercle Brugge3 matchesLommel SK3 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored3/3▲ 1.67 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲ 0.33 goals/match
2.06 xG/match ▲Expected goals3/31.1 xG/match
19 shots/match ▲Shots3/311.7 shots/match
5.33 shots/match ▲Shots on target3/33 shots/match
42.7%Possession3/3● 45%
7.67 corners/match ●Corners3/33.67 corners/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls3/37.67 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 29 Aug 2026, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCercle BruggeLommel SK
CompetitionBelgian Pro League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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