PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2026

KVC Westerlo 2–2 SV Zulte Waregem · Belgian Pro League

2–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

KVC Westerlo and SV Zulte Waregem drew 2–2.

Shots
1614
Shots on target
75
Expected goals
2.161.51
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

KVC Westerlo and SV Zulte Waregem drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (KVC Westerlo – SV Zulte Waregem): shots 16–14, shots on target 7–5, expected goals 2.16–1.51, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

KVC Westerlo have recorded the higher season possession share.

53% ●PossessionKVC Westerlo · SV Zulte Waregem38.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricKVC WesterloSV Zulte WaregemBaseline
Possession53%38.7%50.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots14 shotsKVC Westerlo 16 shots, SV Zulte Waregem 14 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots5 shotsKVC Westerlo 7 shots, SV Zulte Waregem 5 shots
  • Expected goals2.16 xG1.51 xGKVC Westerlo 2.16 xG, SV Zulte Waregem 1.51 xG
  • Possession54%46%KVC Westerlo 54%, SV Zulte Waregem 46%
  • Corners3 corners8 cornersKVC Westerlo 3 corners, SV Zulte Waregem 8 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls12 foulsKVC Westerlo 18 fouls, SV Zulte Waregem 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card0 cardsKVC Westerlo 1 card, SV Zulte Waregem 0 cards
  • Passes461 passes376 passesKVC Westerlo 461 passes, SV Zulte Waregem 376 passes
  • Pass accuracy84.8%79.5%KVC Westerlo 84.8%, SV Zulte Waregem 79.5%
  • Shots inside box11 shots11 shotsKVC Westerlo 11 shots, SV Zulte Waregem 11 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks2 blocksKVC Westerlo 4 blocks, SV Zulte Waregem 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves5 savesKVC Westerlo 3 saves, SV Zulte Waregem 5 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides0 offsidesKVC Westerlo 2 offsides, SV Zulte Waregem 0 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 8′Shunsuke SaitoGoal · KVC Westerlo
  2. 25′Tobias HedlGoal · SV Zulte Waregem
  3. Half-time
  4. 48′Norman BassettePenalty goal · KVC Westerlo
  5. 63′Tobias HedlGoal · SV Zulte Waregem
  6. 82′Lasse FløYellow card · KVC Westerlo
  7. Full time
Player changes · 7grouped by team and minute
  • 66′SV Zulte Waregem · 1 player changeMalick Mbaye
  • 73′KVC Westerlo · 1 player changeIsa Sakamoto
  • 77′KVC Westerlo · 1 player changeLasse Flø
  • 79′SV Zulte Waregem · 1 player changeYoussoupha Mbodji
  • 83′SV Zulte Waregem · 1 player changeSerxho Ujka
  • 87′KVC Westerlo · 2 player changesThomas Van den Keybus · David Amegnaglo

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3KVC Westerlo
1Draws
0SV Zulte Waregem
SV Zulte Waregem — KVC Westerlo · Belgian Pro League0–1
KVC Westerlo — SV Zulte Waregem · Belgian Pro League3–1
SV Zulte Waregem — KVC Westerlo · Belgian Pro League1–1
KVC Westerlo — SV Zulte Waregem · Belgian Pro League2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: KVC Westerlo favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · SV Zulte Waregem in 0 · 13 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

KVC Westerlo3 matchesSV Zulte Waregem3 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲ 2 goals/match
3 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲ 0.67 goals/match
1.22 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲ 1.7 xG/match
15 shots/match ▲Shots3/314 shots/match
4.33 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲ 5.33 shots/match
53% ●Possession3/338.7%
3.67 corners/matchCorners3/3● 4 corners/match
14 fouls/matchFouls3/310.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 30 Aug 2026, 21:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsKVC WesterloSV Zulte Waregem
CompetitionBelgian Pro League
Head-to-headKVC Westerlo — SV Zulte Waregem
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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