PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2026

KV Mechelen 0–1 RSC Anderlecht · Belgian Pro League

0–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

RSC Anderlecht won 0–1.

Shots
1514
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
1.230.91
Possession
34%66%

Full time

What the match recorded

RSC Anderlecht beat KV Mechelen 1–0. Recorded in this match (KV Mechelen – RSC Anderlecht): shots 15–14, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 1.23–0.91, possession 34%–66%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

RSC Anderlecht's recent record differs from the season

moderate

RSC Anderlecht's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.67 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.67 goals/match1.8 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

KV Mechelen show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

KV Mechelen's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.2 shots/match ▲ShotsKV Mechelen · RSC Anderlecht16.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricKV MechelenRSC AnderlechtBaseline
Shots11.2 shots/match16.5 shots/match14.4 shots/match
Shots against15.3 shots/match9.83 shots/match15 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

KV Mechelen have a visible home split

weak

KV Mechelen's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.7 shots/match11.2 shots/match14.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots14 shotsKV Mechelen 15 shots, RSC Anderlecht 14 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsKV Mechelen 4 shots, RSC Anderlecht 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.23 xG0.91 xGKV Mechelen 1.23 xG, RSC Anderlecht 0.91 xG
  • Possession34%66%KV Mechelen 34%, RSC Anderlecht 66%
  • Corners10 corners5 cornersKV Mechelen 10 corners, RSC Anderlecht 5 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls21 foulsKV Mechelen 13 fouls, RSC Anderlecht 21 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card4 cardsKV Mechelen 1 card, RSC Anderlecht 4 cards
  • Passes260 passes556 passesKV Mechelen 260 passes, RSC Anderlecht 556 passes
  • Pass accuracy68.9%87.6%KV Mechelen 68.9%, RSC Anderlecht 87.6%
  • Shots inside box11 shots9 shotsKV Mechelen 11 shots, RSC Anderlecht 9 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks5 blocksKV Mechelen 4 blocks, RSC Anderlecht 5 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves4 savesKV Mechelen 2 saves, RSC Anderlecht 4 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides1 offsideKV Mechelen 2 offsides, RSC Anderlecht 1 offside

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 5′Giulian BianconeYellow card · RSC Anderlecht
  2. 40′Andrew OmobamideleYellow card · RSC Anderlecht
  3. 43′Tawfik BentayebGoal · RSC Anderlecht
  4. Half-time
  5. 60′Ilias KoutsoupiasYellow card · RSC Anderlecht
  6. 80′Fredrik HammarYellow card · KV Mechelen
  7. 82′Léo PétrotYellow card · RSC Anderlecht
  8. Full time
Player changes · 9grouped by team and minute
  • 36′RSC Anderlecht · 1 player changeAndrew Omobamidele
  • 72′RSC Anderlecht · 3 player changesTristan Degreef · Thelo Aasgaard · Romeo Amane
  • 74′KV Mechelen · 1 player changeBenito Raman
  • 75′KV Mechelen · 1 player changeBill Antonio
  • 81′KV Mechelen · 1 player changeCedric Jan Van Meirvenne
  • 82′KV Mechelen · 1 player changeMalcolm Lohunanu-Mbasi
  • 88′KV Mechelen · 1 player changeBilal Bafdili

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

KV Mechelen
  1. Nacho MirasG
  2. Luc MarijnissenD
  3. José MarsàD
  4. Thérence KoudouD
  5. Marco DecherfD
  6. Mike EerdhuijzenD
  7. Fredrik HammarM
  8. Simion MichezM
  9. Dennis PraetM
  10. Myron Van BrederodeF
  11. Bouke BoersmaF
RSC Anderlecht
  1. Colin CoosemansG
  2. Giulian BianconeD
  3. Ludwig AugustinssonD
  4. Léo PétrotD
  5. Ali MaamarD
  6. Marten WinklerM
  7. Oliver AntmanM
  8. Ilias KoutsoupiasM
  9. Marco KanaM
  10. Danylo SikanF
  11. Tawfik BentayebF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1KV Mechelen
1Draws
3RSC Anderlecht
RSC Anderlecht — KV Mechelen · Belgian Pro League2–2
KV Mechelen — RSC Anderlecht · Belgian Pro League1–2
KV Mechelen — RSC Anderlecht · Belgian Pro League1–0
RSC Anderlecht — KV Mechelen · Belgian Pro League3–1
RSC Anderlecht — KV Mechelen · Belgian Pro League4–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: KV Mechelen favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · RSC Anderlecht in 11 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

KV Mechelen6 matchesRSC Anderlecht6 matches
0.83 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/60.67 goals/match
2.33 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲ 0.83 goals/match
1.2 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲ 1.44 xG/match
11.2 shots/matchShots6/6▲ 16.5 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 4.5 shots/match
49.3%Possession6/6● 61.2%
4.83 corners/matchCorners6/6● 6.83 corners/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls6/613.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 11 Sept 2026, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsKV MechelenRSC Anderlecht
CompetitionBelgian Pro League
Head-to-headKV Mechelen — RSC Anderlecht
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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