PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2026

KRC Genk 1–1 KAA Gent · Belgian Pro League

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

KRC Genk and KAA Gent drew 1–1.

Shots
1716
Shots on target
65
Expected goals
0.940.89
Possession
63%37%

Full time

What the match recorded

KRC Genk and KAA Gent drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (KRC Genk – KAA Gent): shots 17–16, shots on target 6–5, expected goals 0.94–0.89, possession 63%–37%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

KRC Genk have a visible home split

weak

KRC Genk's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots17 shots/match13.3 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

KRC Genk show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

KRC Genk's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.3 shots/match ▲ShotsKRC Genk · KAA Gent12.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricKRC GenkKAA GentBaseline
Shots13.3 shots/match12.7 shots/match13.8 shots/match
Shots against13.3 shots/match9.67 shots/match14.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

KRC Genk have recorded the higher season possession share.

54% ●PossessionKRC Genk · KAA Gent45.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricKRC GenkKAA GentBaseline
Possession54%45.7%49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots16 shotsKRC Genk 17 shots, KAA Gent 16 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots5 shotsKRC Genk 6 shots, KAA Gent 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.94 xG0.89 xGKRC Genk 0.94 xG, KAA Gent 0.89 xG
  • Possession63%37%KRC Genk 63%, KAA Gent 37%
  • Corners4 corners9 cornersKRC Genk 4 corners, KAA Gent 9 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls9 foulsKRC Genk 8 fouls, KAA Gent 9 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards5 cardsKRC Genk 2 cards, KAA Gent 5 cards
  • Passes616 passes347 passesKRC Genk 616 passes, KAA Gent 347 passes
  • Pass accuracy90.4%81%KRC Genk 90.4%, KAA Gent 81%
  • Shots inside box10 shots11 shotsKRC Genk 10 shots, KAA Gent 11 shots
  • Blocked shots5 blocks5 blocksKRC Genk 5 blocks, KAA Gent 5 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves5 saves5 savesKRC Genk 5 saves, KAA Gent 5 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides4 offsidesKRC Genk 0 offsides, KAA Gent 4 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 10′Momodou SonkoGoal · KAA Gent
  2. 22′Momodou SonkoYellow card · KAA Gent
  3. 32′Josué VergaraYellow card · KAA Gent
  4. 45′Tiago AraújoYellow card · KAA Gent
  5. Half-time
  6. 47′Rafiu DurosinmiGoal · KRC Genk
  7. 53′Benjamin TahirovićYellow card · KRC Genk
  8. 66′Mathias DelorgeYellow card · KAA Gent
  9. 78′Leonardo LopesYellow card · KAA Gent
  10. 80′Josue Ndenge KongoloYellow card · KRC Genk
  11. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 46′KRC Genk · 2 player changesNoah Adedeji-Sternberg · Benjamin Tahirović
  • 57′KAA Gent · 1 player changeLeonardo Lopes
  • 73′KRC Genk · 2 player changesJerry Afriyie · Daan Heymans
  • 80′KAA Gent · 3 player changesEl Hadji Seck · Hyllarion Goore · Abdelkahar Kadri
  • 87′KAA Gent · 1 player changeIbrahima Cisse
  • 87′KRC Genk · 1 player changeAaron Bibout

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

KRC Genk
  1. Lucca BrughmansG
  2. Matte SmetsD
  3. Joris KayembeD
  4. Kevin AmaroD
  5. Josue Ndenge KongoloD
  6. Bryan HeynenM
  7. Jeppe ErenbjergM
  8. Ibrahima Sory BangouraM
  9. Junya ItoF
  10. Rafiu DurosinmiF
  11. Ayumu YokoyamaF
KAA Gent
  1. Davy RoefG
  2. Mouhamed El NgomD
  3. Michel Ange BalikwishaD
  4. Christian BurgessD
  5. Tiago AraújoD
  6. Siebe Van der HeydenD
  7. Mathias DelorgeM
  8. Tibe De VliegerM
  9. Momodou SonkoF
  10. Kyrell WilsonF
  11. Josué VergaraF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3KRC Genk
2Draws
0KAA Gent
KAA Gent — KRC Genk · Belgian Pro League0–0
KRC Genk — KAA Gent · Belgian Pro League3–0
KAA Gent — KRC Genk · Belgian Pro League1–1
KAA Gent — KRC Genk · Belgian Pro League1–4
KRC Genk — KAA Gent · Belgian Pro League4–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: KRC Genk favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · KAA Gent in 7 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

KRC Genk6 matchesKAA Gent6 matches
2.17 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/61.83 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲ 0.5 goals/match
1.75 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/61.14 xG/match
13.3 shots/matchShots6/612.7 shots/match
5.33 shots/match ▲Shots on target6/64.67 shots/match
54% ●Possession6/645.7%
4 corners/matchCorners6/6● 4.5 corners/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls6/610.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 13 Sept 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsKRC GenkKAA Gent
CompetitionBelgian Pro League
Head-to-headKRC Genk — KAA Gent
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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