Vitória SC 1–0 CD Nacional — Match Stats & Analysis

Primeira Liga · 2026Sun, 23 Aug 2026, 14:30 UTC

Vitória SC

1–0Full-time analysis

CD Nacional

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Vitória SC won 1–0.

Shots: 237
Shots on target: 50
Expected goals: 3.140.42
Possession: 48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

Vitória SC beat CD Nacional 1–0. Recorded in this match (Vitória SC – CD Nacional): shots 23–7, shots on target 5–0, expected goals 3.14–0.42, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Vitória SC show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Vitória SC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Vitória SC	CD Nacional	Baseline
Shots	—	12.3 shots/match	12.7 shots/match
Shots against	—	17 shots/match	13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

Shots23 shots7 shotsVitória SC 23 shots, CD Nacional 7 shots
Shots on target5 shots0 shotsVitória SC 5 shots, CD Nacional 0 shots
Expected goals3.14 xG0.42 xGVitória SC 3.14 xG, CD Nacional 0.42 xG
Possession48%52%Vitória SC 48%, CD Nacional 52%
Corners4 corners3 cornersVitória SC 4 corners, CD Nacional 3 corners
Fouls18 fouls8 foulsVitória SC 18 fouls, CD Nacional 8 fouls
Yellow cards2 cards1 cardVitória SC 2 cards, CD Nacional 1 card
Passes382 passes423 passesVitória SC 382 passes, CD Nacional 423 passes
Pass accuracy81.2%78%Vitória SC 81.2%, CD Nacional 78%
Shots inside box13 shots3 shotsVitória SC 13 shots, CD Nacional 3 shots
Blocked shots5 blocks2 blocksVitória SC 5 blocks, CD Nacional 2 blocks
Goalkeeper saves0 saves3 savesVitória SC 0 saves, CD Nacional 3 saves
Offsides2 offsides1 offsideVitória SC 2 offsides, CD Nacional 1 offside

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Vitória SC: 23 shots, 5 on target, 3.18 xG. CD Nacional: 7 shots, 0 on target, 0.42 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Vitória SC 3.18 xG · CD Nacional 0.42 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Vitória SC

1Draws

1CD Nacional

16 May 2026CD Nacional — Vitória SC · Primeira Liga2–0

2 Jan 2026Vitória SC — CD Nacional · Primeira Liga2–1

3 May 2025CD Nacional — Vitória SC · Primeira Liga1–2

23 Dec 2024Vitória SC — CD Nacional · Primeira Liga2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

8.8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

1 matchMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited

Season samples2 / 3home / away teams

Recent samples2 / 3last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 23 Aug 2026, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4