PitchMath
Primeira Liga · 2026

Rio Ave 0–4 Sporting · Primeira Liga

0–4Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Sporting won 0–4.

Shots
615
Shots on target
07
Expected goals
0.471.66
Possession
39%61%

Full time

What the match recorded

Sporting beat Rio Ave 4–0. Recorded in this match (Rio Ave – Sporting): shots 6–15, shots on target 0–7, expected goals 0.47–1.66, possession 39%–61%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Rio Ave show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Rio Ave's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

7.33 shots/match ▲ShotsRio Ave · Sporting11.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRio AveSportingBaseline
Shots7.33 shots/match11.7 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against15.7 shots/match9.33 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Sporting have recorded the higher season possession share.

44%PossessionRio Ave · Sporting● 58.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricRio AveSportingBaseline
Possession44%58.7%48.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots15 shotsRio Ave 6 shots, Sporting 15 shots
  • Shots on target0 shots7 shotsRio Ave 0 shots, Sporting 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.47 xG1.66 xGRio Ave 0.47 xG, Sporting 1.66 xG
  • Possession39%61%Rio Ave 39%, Sporting 61%
  • Corners2 corners3 cornersRio Ave 2 corners, Sporting 3 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls14 foulsRio Ave 7 fouls, Sporting 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card1 cardRio Ave 1 card, Sporting 1 card
  • Passes388 passes612 passesRio Ave 388 passes, Sporting 612 passes
  • Pass accuracy84.5%90.2%Rio Ave 84.5%, Sporting 90.2%
  • Shots inside box3 shots11 shotsRio Ave 3 shots, Sporting 11 shots
  • Blocked shots1 block3 blocksRio Ave 1 block, Sporting 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves0 savesRio Ave 3 saves, Sporting 0 saves
  • Offsides1 offside0 offsidesRio Ave 1 offside, Sporting 0 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 5′Flávio GonçalvesGoal · Sporting
  2. 19′Geny CatamoGoal · Sporting
  3. 26′Luis Javier SuárezGoal · Sporting
  4. 37′Luis Javier SuárezGoal · Sporting
  5. Half-time
  6. 51′Luis Javier SuárezYellow card · Sporting
  7. 60′Tamás NikitscherYellow card · Rio Ave
  8. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 65′Sporting · 3 player changesSilas Andersen · Fotis Ioannidis · Luís Guilherme
  • 66′Rio Ave · 1 player changeMalik Sellouki
  • 74′Rio Ave · 2 player changesAntoine Wenck · Roland Galčík
  • 81′Sporting · 1 player changeNestory Irankunda
  • 86′Sporting · 1 player changeJesse Derry
  • 86′Rio Ave · 2 player changesMiguel Patricio · Caike

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Rio Ave
1Draws
4Sporting
Rio Ave — Sporting · Primeira Liga1–4
Sporting — Rio Ave · Primeira Liga4–0
Rio Ave — Sporting · Primeira Liga0–3
Sporting — Rio Ave · Primeira Liga3–1
Rio Ave — Sporting · Primeira Liga3–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Rio Ave favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Sporting in 0 · 13 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Rio Ave3 matchesSporting3 matches
0.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲ 3.33 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲ 1 goal/match
0.58 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲ 1.63 xG/match
7.33 shots/matchShots3/3▲ 11.7 shots/match
1.33 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲ 5.67 shots/match
44%Possession3/3● 58.7%
3.67 corners/matchCorners3/33.67 corners/match
7.33 fouls/matchFouls3/313 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 28 Aug 2026, 23:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRio AveSporting
CompetitionPrimeira Liga
Head-to-headRio Ave — Sporting
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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