PitchMath
Primeira Liga · 2026

Estoril Praia 0–0 FC Arouca · Primeira Liga

0–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Estoril Praia and FC Arouca drew 0–0.

Shots
1812
Shots on target
82
Expected goals
0.861.07
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

Estoril Praia and FC Arouca drew 0–0. Recorded in this match (Estoril Praia – FC Arouca): shots 18–12, shots on target 8–2, expected goals 0.86–1.07, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Arouca have a visible away split

weak

FC Arouca's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

6.67 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season10.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots6.67 shots/match10.2 shots/match11.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Estoril Praia show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Estoril Praia's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.6 shots/match ▲ShotsEstoril Praia · FC Arouca10.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricEstoril PraiaFC AroucaBaseline
Shots12.6 shots/match10.2 shots/match11.3 shots/match
Shots against13.2 shots/match16.4 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots12 shotsEstoril Praia 18 shots, FC Arouca 12 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots2 shotsEstoril Praia 8 shots, FC Arouca 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.86 xG1.07 xGEstoril Praia 0.86 xG, FC Arouca 1.07 xG
  • Possession48%52%Estoril Praia 48%, FC Arouca 52%
  • Corners8 corners2 cornersEstoril Praia 8 corners, FC Arouca 2 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls9 foulsEstoril Praia 12 fouls, FC Arouca 9 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards1 cardEstoril Praia 4 cards, FC Arouca 1 card
  • Passes449 passes497 passesEstoril Praia 449 passes, FC Arouca 497 passes
  • Pass accuracy79.7%84.7%Estoril Praia 79.7%, FC Arouca 84.7%
  • Shots inside box10 shots6 shotsEstoril Praia 10 shots, FC Arouca 6 shots
  • Blocked shots5 blocks2 blocksEstoril Praia 5 blocks, FC Arouca 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves8 savesEstoril Praia 2 saves, FC Arouca 8 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides2 offsidesEstoril Praia 0 offsides, FC Arouca 2 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 30′Joel RoblesYellow card · Estoril Praia
  2. 45′FerroYellow card · Estoril Praia
  3. Half-time
  4. 71′Jordan ArnolinYellow card · Estoril Praia
  5. 72′João CarvalhoYellow card · Estoril Praia
  6. 86′Brian MansillaYellow card · FC Arouca
  7. Full time
Player changes · 9grouped by team and minute
  • 46′FC Arouca · 1 player changePedro Santos
  • 46′Estoril Praia · 1 player changeJordan Arnolin
  • 75′FC Arouca · 2 player changesDylan Nandín · Mateo Flores
  • 75′Estoril Praia · 1 player changeMartin Turk
  • 79′Estoril Praia · 2 player changesRafik Guitane · Pedro Carvalho
  • 85′FC Arouca · 1 player changeBrian Mansilla
  • 85′Estoril Praia · 1 player changeTiago Brito

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Estoril Praia
0Draws
3FC Arouca
FC Arouca — Estoril Praia · Primeira Liga3–2
Estoril Praia — FC Arouca · Primeira Liga4–3
FC Arouca — Estoril Praia · Primeira Liga1–0
Estoril Praia — FC Arouca · Primeira Liga4–1
Estoril Praia — FC Arouca · Primeira Liga1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Estoril Praia favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · FC Arouca in 6 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Estoril Praia5 matchesFC Arouca5 matches
0.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲ 1.4 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲ 0.6 goals/match
0.85 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲ 1.18 xG/match
12.6 shots/match ▲Shots5/510.2 shots/match
4.8 shots/match ▲Shots on target5/53.6 shots/match
45.6%Possession5/5● 48.8%
5 corners/match ●Corners5/52.6 corners/match
12 fouls/matchFouls5/58.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 7 Sept 2026, 23:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsEstoril PraiaFC Arouca
CompetitionPrimeira Liga
Head-to-headEstoril Praia — FC Arouca
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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