UEFA Champions League · 2026Full timeFull-time analysis
11Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricNEC NijmegenOlympiakos Piraeus
Shots16 shots 10 shots
Shots on target7 shots 2 shots
Possession54% 46%
Corners3 corners4 corners
Fouls17 fouls19 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Tjaronn Chery · NEC Nijmegen · 17′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedGustavo Sá · Olympiacos FC · 49′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedEmre Mor · NEC Nijmegen · 67′ · 0.00 xG · on targetJoel Roca · Olympiacos FC · 89′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Scipioni · Olympiacos FC · 105′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedTjaronn Chery · NEC Nijmegen · 107′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedKevin Kers · NEC Nijmegen · 109′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedChiquinho · Olympiacos FC · 117′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedGelson Martins · Olympiacos FC · 40′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAyoub El Kaabi · Olympiacos FC · 57′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedClement Bischoff · NEC Nijmegen · 58′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTjaronn Chery · NEC Nijmegen · 70′ · 0.01 xG · on targetClement Bischoff · NEC Nijmegen · 82′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNoe Lebreton · NEC Nijmegen · 84′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTjaronn Chery · NEC Nijmegen · 9′ · 0.02 xG · on targetBryan Linssen · NEC Nijmegen · 81′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEmre Mor · NEC Nijmegen · 93′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Pirola · Olympiacos FC · 98′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJoel Roca · Olympiacos FC · 94′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Scipioni · Olympiacos FC · 98′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKaj Sierhuis · NEC Nijmegen · 105′ · 0.04 xG · on targetTjaronn Chery · NEC Nijmegen · 95′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBryan Linssen · NEC Nijmegen · 68′ · 0.09 xG · on targetAyoub El Kaabi · Olympiacos FC · 46′ · 0.10 xG · goalBryan Linssen · NEC Nijmegen · 70′ · 0.10 xG · goalEmre Mor · NEC Nijmegen · 95′ · 0.10 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

NEC Nijmegen: 16 shots, 7 on target, 0.48 xG. Olympiacos FC: 10 shots, 2 on target, 0.21 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.250.50′HT90′120′Bryan Linssen · NEC Nijmegen · 70′Emre Mor · NEC Nijmegen · 95′Ayoub El Kaabi · Olympiacos FC · 46′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: NEC Nijmegen 0.48 xG · Olympiacos FC 0.21 xG.

Full time

What the match recorded

NEC Nijmegen and Olympiacos FC drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (NEC Nijmegen – Olympiacos FC): shots 16–10, shots on target 7–2, possession 54%–46%, corners 3–4. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Season-opening preview

Current-season evidence is still building.

This competition's new season has only just started, so PitchMath does not yet hold enough completed matches for a current-season grade. The comparison below is last season's recorded data, shown as historical context.

1 / 2 matches toward the first current-season grade

Current season so far

Completed matches in the season being played. Kept separate from the historical block below.

  • NEC Nijmegen1 matches
  • Olympiakos Piraeus1 matches

Previous-season context

Recorded season totals from the source competition. Not current form.

These two clubs played in different competitions last season, so the values are shown side by side without ranking them against each other.

NEC Nijmegen

Competition
Eredivisie
Season
2025/26
Sample
34 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
24 May 2026
  • Goals scored2.26 goals/match
  • Goals allowed1.56 goals/match
  • Expected goals1.83 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed1.42 xG/match
  • Shots17 shots/match
  • Shots allowed11.2 shots/match
  • Shots on target6.76 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed4.97 shots/match
  • Possession56.6%
  • Corners6.12 corners/match
  • Corners allowed3.97 corners/match
  • Fouls11.8 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency15%
  • Scoring frequency97%

Olympiakos Piraeus

Competition
UEFA Champions League
Season
2025/26
Sample
10 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
30 May 2026
  • Goals scored1 goal/match
  • Goals allowed1.6 goals/match
  • Expected goals1.07 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed1.48 xG/match
  • Shots12.6 shots/match
  • Shots allowed10.9 shots/match
  • Shots on target3.5 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed3.9 shots/match
  • Possession42.9%
  • Corners4.4 corners/match
  • Corners allowed4.2 corners/match
  • Fouls11.1 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency40%
  • Scoring frequency60%

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · UnavailableUnavailableunavailable
Season samples1 / 1home / away teams
Recent samples1 / 1last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 11 Aug 2026, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4