This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.
This match
Match statistics
| Metric | SK Sturm Graz | Fenerbahçe |
|---|---|---|
| Shots | 19 shots/match▲ | 11 shots/match |
| Shots on target | 2 shots/match | 6 shots/match▲ |
| Possession | 50% | 50% |
| Corners | 7 corners/match● | 6 corners/match |
| Fouls | 12 fouls/match | 13 fouls/match |
Every shot
Shot map
Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.
- off target
- on target
- goal
- penalty
- size = xG
SK Sturm Graz: 19 shots, 2 on target, 0.19 xG. Fenerbahçe: 11 shots, 6 on target, 1.06 xG.
How the match built
Expected-goals timeline
Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.
The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: SK Sturm Graz 0.19 xG · Fenerbahçe 1.06 xG.
30-second read
What the record shows
The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
Season-opening preview
Current-season evidence is still building.
This competition's new season has only just started, so PitchMath does not yet hold enough completed matches for a current-season grade. The comparison below is last season's recorded data, shown as historical context.
1 / 2 matches toward the first current-season grade
Current season so far
Completed matches in the season being played. Kept separate from the historical block below.
- SK Sturm Graz1 matches
- Fenerbahçe1 matches
Previous-season context
Recorded season totals from the source competition. Not current form.
Both clubs played the same competition and season, so these values are directly comparable.
SK Sturm Graz
- Competition
- UEFA Champions League
- Season
- 2025/26
- Sample
- 2 matches
- Profile grade
- C
- Data cutoff
- 30 May 2026
Fenerbahçe
- Competition
- UEFA Champions League
- Season
- 2025/26
- Sample
- 4 matches
- Profile grade
- B
- Data cutoff
- 30 May 2026
- Goals scored1.5 goals/match
- Goals allowed1.25 goals/match
- Shots10.3 shots/match
- Shots allowed13.3 shots/match
- Shots on target4 shots/match
- Shots on target allowed4.25 shots/match
- Possession50.8%
- Corners3.75 corners/match
- Corners allowed4.5 corners/match
- Fouls17.3 fouls/match
- Clean-sheet frequency25%
- Scoring frequency50%
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
- At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
- Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
- The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
SK Sturm Graz
Gençlerbirliği
ŠK Slovan Bratislava
Mjällby AIF
Celje
Ararat-Armenia
Lyon
Sparta Praha