Eredivisie · 2026

FC Twente 3–1 PEC Zwolle · Eredivisie

3–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

FC Twente won 3–1.

Shots
278
Shots on target
103
Expected goals
2.080.68
Possession
69%31%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Twente beat PEC Zwolle 3–1. Recorded in this match (FC Twente – PEC Zwolle): shots 27–8, shots on target 10–3, expected goals 2.08–0.68, possession 69%–31%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots27 shots8 shotsFC Twente 27 shots, PEC Zwolle 8 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots3 shotsFC Twente 10 shots, PEC Zwolle 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.08 xG0.68 xGFC Twente 2.08 xG, PEC Zwolle 0.68 xG
  • Possession69%31%FC Twente 69%, PEC Zwolle 31%
  • Corners6 corners3 cornersFC Twente 6 corners, PEC Zwolle 3 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls6 foulsFC Twente 11 fouls, PEC Zwolle 6 fouls
  • Passes614 passes285 passesFC Twente 614 passes, PEC Zwolle 285 passes
  • Pass accuracy88%69.1%FC Twente 88%, PEC Zwolle 69.1%
  • Shots inside box17 shots5 shotsFC Twente 17 shots, PEC Zwolle 5 shots
  • Blocked shots5 blocks3 blocksFC Twente 5 blocks, PEC Zwolle 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves8 savesFC Twente 2 saves, PEC Zwolle 8 saves
  • Offsides1 offside0 offsidesFC Twente 1 offside, PEC Zwolle 0 offsides

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Koen Kostons · PEC Zwolle · 68′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDaouda Weidmann · FC Twente · 23′ · 0.02 xG · on targetSimon Graves · PEC Zwolle · 61′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSimon Graves · PEC Zwolle · 68′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDaan Rots · FC Twente · 69′ · 0.02 xG · goalElias Sørensen · PEC Zwolle · 1′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDaouda Weidmann · FC Twente · 19′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTobias Sommer · PEC Zwolle · 57′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMarko Pjaca · FC Twente · 44′ · 0.04 xG · on targetSondre Ørjasæter · FC Twente · 62′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDaouda Weidmann · FC Twente · 29′ · 0.05 xG · on targetBart van Rooij · FC Twente · 42′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMarko Pjaca · FC Twente · 53′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSondre Ørjasæter · FC Twente · 72′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedWout Weghorst · FC Twente · 74′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRuud Nijstad · FC Twente · 84′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFilip Thorvaldsen · FC Twente · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMarko Pjaca · FC Twente · 33′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDaouda Weidmann · FC Twente · 38′ · 0.06 xG · goalSam Lammers · FC Twente · 83′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDaouda Weidmann · FC Twente · 15′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedIbrahim Cissoko · PEC Zwolle · 74′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKristian Hlynsson · FC Twente · 85′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKristian Hlynsson · FC Twente · 81′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedDaan Rots · FC Twente · 45′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedDylan Mbayo · FC Twente · 59′ · 0.10 xG · goalKristian Hlynsson · FC Twente · 76′ · 0.10 xG · on targetDaan Rots · FC Twente · 85′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedDaan Rots · FC Twente · 90′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedDaan Rots · FC Twente · 26′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedSondre Ørjasæter · FC Twente · 73′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedMarko Pjaca · FC Twente · 29′ · 0.15 xG · on targetKoen Kostons · PEC Zwolle · 90′ · 0.18 xG · on targetThomas Van den Belt · FC Twente · 81′ · 0.19 xG · on targetDaan Rots · FC Twente · 57′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedElias Sørensen · PEC Zwolle · 21′ · 0.31 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FC Twente: 28 shots, 11 on target, 2.23 xG. PEC Zwolle: 8 shots, 3 on target, 0.67 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Daouda Weidmann · FC Twente · 38′Dylan Mbayo · FC Twente · 59′Daan Rots · FC Twente · 69′Elias Sørensen · PEC Zwolle · 21′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC Twente 2.23 xG · PEC Zwolle 0.67 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1FC Twente
3Draws
1PEC Zwolle
FC Twente — PEC Zwolle · Eredivisie1–1
PEC Zwolle — FC Twente · Eredivisie1–0
PEC Zwolle — FC Twente · Eredivisie1–1
FC Twente — PEC Zwolle · Eredivisie1–1
PEC Zwolle — FC Twente · Eredivisie1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Season-opening preview

Current-season evidence is still building.

This competition's new season has only just started, so PitchMath does not yet hold enough completed matches for a current-season grade. The comparison below is last season's recorded data, shown as historical context.

1 / 2 matches toward the first current-season grade

Current season so far

Completed matches in the season being played. Kept separate from the historical block below.

  • FC Twente1 matches
  • PEC Zwolle1 matches

Previous-season context

Recorded season totals from the source competition. Not current form.

Both clubs played the same competition and season, so these values are directly comparable.

FC Twente

Competition
Eredivisie
Season
2025/26
Sample
34 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
24 May 2026
  • Goals scored1.74 goals/match
  • Goals allowed1.18 goals/match
  • Expected goals1.9 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed1.12 xG/match
  • Shots17.8 shots/match
  • Shots allowed10.8 shots/match
  • Shots on target6.39 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed3.73 shots/match
  • Possession54.2%
  • Corners5.35 corners/match
  • Corners allowed4.15 corners/match
  • Fouls10.5 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency24%
  • Scoring frequency82%

PEC Zwolle

Competition
Eredivisie
Season
2025/26
Sample
34 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
24 May 2026
  • Goals scored1.29 goals/match
  • Goals allowed2.09 goals/match
  • Expected goals1.18 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed1.75 xG/match
  • Shots9.62 shots/match
  • Shots allowed17.1 shots/match
  • Shots on target3.53 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed6.21 shots/match
  • Possession44.9%
  • Corners3.59 corners/match
  • Corners allowed6.09 corners/match
  • Fouls11.5 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency18%
  • Scoring frequency82%

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · UnavailableUnavailable — unavailable
Season samples1 / 1home / away teams
Recent samples1 / 1last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 16 Aug 2026, 16:30 UTC · analysis-v4