AFC Ajax 2–2 SC Heerenveen · Eredivisie
This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.
Match at a glance
AFC Ajax and SC Heerenveen drew 2–2.
- Shots
- 23–14
- Shots on target
- 4–8
- Expected goals
- 2–1.36
- Possession
- 54%–46%
Full time
What the match recorded
AFC Ajax and SC Heerenveen drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (AFC Ajax – SC Heerenveen): shots 23–14, shots on target 4–8, expected goals 2–1.36, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
This match
Match statistics
Every shot
Shot map
Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.
- off target
- on target
- goal
- penalty
- size = xG
AFC Ajax: 24 shots, 5 on target, 2.12 xG. SC Heerenveen: 14 shots, 8 on target, 1.38 xG.
How the match built
Expected-goals timeline
Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.
The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: AFC Ajax 2.12 xG · SC Heerenveen 1.38 xG.
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
Season-opening preview
Current-season evidence is still building.
This competition's new season has only just started, so PitchMath does not yet hold enough completed matches for a current-season grade. The comparison below is last season's recorded data, shown as historical context.
1 / 2 matches toward the first current-season grade
Current season so far
Completed matches in the season being played. Kept separate from the historical block below.
- AFC Ajax1 matches
- SC Heerenveen1 matches
Previous-season context
Recorded season totals from the source competition. Not current form.
Both clubs played the same competition and season, so these values are directly comparable.
AFC Ajax
- Competition
- Eredivisie
- Season
- 2025/26
- Sample
- 36 matches
- Profile grade
- A
- Data cutoff
- 24 May 2026
- Goals scored1.78 goals/match
- Goals allowed1.14 goals/match
- Expected goals1.58 xG/match
- Expected goals allowed1.29 xG/match
- Shots14.9 shots/match
- Shots allowed13 shots/match
- Shots on target5.92 shots/match
- Shots on target allowed4.44 shots/match
- Possession56.4%
- Corners4.89 corners/match
- Corners allowed5.08 corners/match
- Fouls10.3 fouls/match
- Clean-sheet frequency33%
- Scoring frequency89%
SC Heerenveen
- Competition
- Eredivisie
- Season
- 2025/26
- Sample
- 35 matches
- Profile grade
- A
- Data cutoff
- 24 May 2026
- Goals scored1.69 goals/match
- Goals allowed1.6 goals/match
- Expected goals1.66 xG/match
- Expected goals allowed1.47 xG/match
- Shots14.9 shots/match
- Shots allowed14 shots/match
- Shots on target5.34 shots/match
- Shots on target allowed5.37 shots/match
- Possession51.2%
- Corners5.57 corners/match
- Corners allowed5.09 corners/match
- Fouls10.9 fouls/match
- Clean-sheet frequency14%
- Scoring frequency77%
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
- At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
- Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
- The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
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