Sevilla 2–1 Rayo Vallecano · La Liga
This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.
Match at a glance
Sevilla won 2–1.
- Shots
- 13–6
- Shots on target
- 4–3
- Expected goals
- 2.3–2
- Possession
- 49%–51%
Full time
What the match recorded
Sevilla beat Rayo Vallecano 2–1. Recorded in this match (Sevilla – Rayo Vallecano): shots 13–6, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 2.3–2, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
This match
Match statistics
Every shot
Shot map
Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.
- off target
- on target
- goal
- penalty
- size = xG
Sevilla: 13 shots, 4 on target, 2.38 xG. Rayo Vallecano: 5 shots, 2 on target, 0.98 xG. · 1 unplaced
How the match built
Expected-goals timeline
Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.
The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Sevilla 2.38 xG · Rayo Vallecano 0.98 xG.
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
Season-opening preview
Current-season evidence is still building.
This competition's new season has only just started, so PitchMath does not yet hold enough completed matches for a current-season grade. The comparison below is last season's recorded data, shown as historical context.
1 / 2 matches toward the first current-season grade
Current season so far
Completed matches in the season being played. Kept separate from the historical block below.
- Sevilla1 matches
- Rayo Vallecano1 matches
Previous-season context
Recorded season totals from the source competition. Not current form.
Both clubs played the same competition and season, so these values are directly comparable.
Sevilla
- Competition
- La Liga
- Season
- 2025/26
- Sample
- 38 matches
- Profile grade
- A
- Data cutoff
- 24 May 2026
- Goals scored1.21 goals/match
- Goals allowed1.58 goals/match
- Expected goals1.02 xG/match
- Expected goals allowed1.49 xG/match
- Shots11.5 shots/match
- Shots allowed10.6 shots/match
- Shots on target3.61 shots/match
- Shots on target allowed4.21 shots/match
- Possession50.9%
- Corners4.79 corners/match
- Corners allowed4.55 corners/match
- Cards3 cards/match
- Fouls14.8 fouls/match
- Clean-sheet frequency16%
- Scoring frequency74%
Rayo Vallecano
- Competition
- La Liga
- Season
- 2025/26
- Sample
- 38 matches
- Profile grade
- A
- Data cutoff
- 24 May 2026
- Goals scored1.08 goals/match
- Goals allowed1.16 goals/match
- Expected goals1.35 xG/match
- Expected goals allowed1.31 xG/match
- Shots13.9 shots/match
- Shots allowed12.2 shots/match
- Shots on target4.82 shots/match
- Shots on target allowed4.21 shots/match
- Possession53.4%
- Corners5.68 corners/match
- Corners allowed5.24 corners/match
- Cards3.03 cards/match
- Fouls13.4 fouls/match
- Clean-sheet frequency32%
- Scoring frequency68%
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
- At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
- Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
- The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
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