La Liga · 2026

Sevilla 2–1 Rayo Vallecano · La Liga

2–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Sevilla won 2–1.

Shots
136
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
2.32
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Sevilla beat Rayo Vallecano 2–1. Recorded in this match (Sevilla – Rayo Vallecano): shots 13–6, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 2.3–2, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots6 shotsSevilla 13 shots, Rayo Vallecano 6 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsSevilla 4 shots, Rayo Vallecano 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.3 xG2 xGSevilla 2.3 xG, Rayo Vallecano 2 xG
  • Possession49%51%Sevilla 49%, Rayo Vallecano 51%
  • Corners1 corner2 cornersSevilla 1 corner, Rayo Vallecano 2 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls18 foulsSevilla 18 fouls, Rayo Vallecano 18 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards4 cardsSevilla 4 cards, Rayo Vallecano 4 cards
  • Passes318 passes336 passesSevilla 318 passes, Rayo Vallecano 336 passes
  • Pass accuracy73%72.9%Sevilla 73%, Rayo Vallecano 72.9%
  • Shots inside box9 shots5 shotsSevilla 9 shots, Rayo Vallecano 5 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks0 blocksSevilla 3 blocks, Rayo Vallecano 0 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves2 savesSevilla 2 saves, Rayo Vallecano 2 saves
  • Offsides1 offside1 offsideSevilla 1 offside, Rayo Vallecano 1 offside

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Kike Salas · Sevilla · 36′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNico Guillén · Sevilla · 15′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Romero · Sevilla · 36′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOso · Sevilla · 48′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Lejeune · Rayo Vallecano · 86′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMiguel Ángel Sierra Ortega · Sevilla · 67′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJon Guridi · Sevilla · 50′ · 0.07 xG · on targetRubén Vargas · Sevilla · 72′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAndrei Rațiu · Rayo Vallecano · 86′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRobbie Ure · Sevilla · 63′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Lejeune · Rayo Vallecano · 84′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedPeque Fernández · Sevilla · 65′ · 0.09 xG · on targetOso · Sevilla · 69′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Romero · Sevilla · 45′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedAlemão · Rayo Vallecano · 86′ · 0.18 xG · on targetRandy Nteka · Rayo Vallecano · 7′ · 0.62 xG · off target or blockedJon Guridi · Sevilla · 52′ · 0.82 xG · goalPeque Fernández · Sevilla · 90′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Sevilla: 13 shots, 4 on target, 2.38 xG. Rayo Vallecano: 5 shots, 2 on target, 0.98 xG. · 1 unplaced

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Jon Guridi · Sevilla · 52′Peque Fernández · Sevilla · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Sevilla 2.38 xG · Rayo Vallecano 0.98 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Sevilla
2Draws
0Rayo Vallecano
Sevilla — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga1–1
Rayo Vallecano — Sevilla · La Liga0–1
Rayo Vallecano — Sevilla · La Liga1–1
Sevilla — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga1–0
Rayo Vallecano — Sevilla · La Liga1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Season-opening preview

Current-season evidence is still building.

This competition's new season has only just started, so PitchMath does not yet hold enough completed matches for a current-season grade. The comparison below is last season's recorded data, shown as historical context.

1 / 2 matches toward the first current-season grade

Current season so far

Completed matches in the season being played. Kept separate from the historical block below.

  • Sevilla1 matches
  • Rayo Vallecano1 matches

Previous-season context

Recorded season totals from the source competition. Not current form.

Both clubs played the same competition and season, so these values are directly comparable.

Sevilla

Competition
La Liga
Season
2025/26
Sample
38 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
24 May 2026
  • Goals scored1.21 goals/match
  • Goals allowed1.58 goals/match
  • Expected goals1.02 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed1.49 xG/match
  • Shots11.5 shots/match
  • Shots allowed10.6 shots/match
  • Shots on target3.61 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed4.21 shots/match
  • Possession50.9%
  • Corners4.79 corners/match
  • Corners allowed4.55 corners/match
  • Cards3 cards/match
  • Fouls14.8 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency16%
  • Scoring frequency74%

Rayo Vallecano

Competition
La Liga
Season
2025/26
Sample
38 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
24 May 2026
  • Goals scored1.08 goals/match
  • Goals allowed1.16 goals/match
  • Expected goals1.35 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed1.31 xG/match
  • Shots13.9 shots/match
  • Shots allowed12.2 shots/match
  • Shots on target4.82 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed4.21 shots/match
  • Possession53.4%
  • Corners5.68 corners/match
  • Corners allowed5.24 corners/match
  • Cards3.03 cards/match
  • Fouls13.4 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency32%
  • Scoring frequency68%

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · UnavailableUnavailable — unavailable
Season samples1 / 1home / away teams
Recent samples1 / 1last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 15 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4