La Liga · 2026

Athletic Club 1–3 Sevilla · La Liga

1–3Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Sevilla won 1–3.

Shots
187
Shots on target
84
Expected goals
1.250.41
Possession
65%35%

Full time

What the match recorded

Sevilla beat Athletic Club 3–1. Recorded in this match (Athletic Club – Sevilla): shots 18–7, shots on target 8–4, expected goals 1.25–0.41, possession 65%–35%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots7 shotsAthletic Club 18 shots, Sevilla 7 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots4 shotsAthletic Club 8 shots, Sevilla 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.25 xG0.41 xGAthletic Club 1.25 xG, Sevilla 0.41 xG
  • Possession65%35%Athletic Club 65%, Sevilla 35%
  • Corners10 corners3 cornersAthletic Club 10 corners, Sevilla 3 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls16 foulsAthletic Club 11 fouls, Sevilla 16 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards5 cardsAthletic Club 2 cards, Sevilla 5 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Gorka Guruzeta · Athletic Club · 44′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBeñat Gerenabarrena · Athletic Club · 4′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJuan Iglesias · Sevilla · 21′ · 0.02 xG · on targetGorka Guruzeta · Athletic Club · 26′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedÁlex Berenguer · Athletic Club · 52′ · 0.02 xG · on targetOihan Sancet · Athletic Club · 56′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMiguel Sierra · Sevilla · 28′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedÁlex Berenguer · Athletic Club · 56′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPeio Canales · Athletic Club · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetIñaki Williams · Athletic Club · 11′ · 0.05 xG · on targetOso · Sevilla · 14′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPeque Fernández · Sevilla · 30′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPeio Canales · Athletic Club · 33′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedYeray Álvarez · Athletic Club · 70′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIñaki Williams · Athletic Club · 42′ · 0.06 xG · on targetPeio Canales · Athletic Club · 65′ · 0.06 xG · on targetOso · Sevilla · 15′ · 0.07 xG · goalJesús Areso · Athletic Club · 19′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedOihan Sancet · Athletic Club · 23′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedYeray Álvarez · Athletic Club · 54′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Romero · Sevilla · 57′ · 0.09 xG · goalNico Williams · Athletic Club · 88′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedChidera Ejuke · Sevilla · 51′ · 0.10 xG · goalOihan Sancet · Athletic Club · 69′ · 0.21 xG · on targetAitor Paredes · Athletic Club · 70′ · 0.30 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Athletic Club: 18 shots, 8 on target, 1.25 xG. Sevilla: 7 shots, 4 on target, 0.41 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Aitor Paredes · Athletic Club · 70′Oso · Sevilla · 15′Chidera Ejuke · Sevilla · 51′Isaac Romero · Sevilla · 57′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Athletic Club 1.25 xG · Sevilla 0.41 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Athletic Club
1Draws
1Sevilla
Sevilla — Athletic Club · La Liga2–1
Athletic Club — Sevilla · La Liga3–2
Sevilla — Athletic Club · La Liga0–1
Athletic Club — Sevilla · La Liga1–1
Athletic Club — Sevilla · La Liga2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Season-opening preview

Current-season evidence is still building.

This competition's new season has only just started, so PitchMath does not yet hold enough completed matches for a current-season grade. The comparison below is last season's recorded data, shown as historical context.

1 / 2 matches toward the first current-season grade

Current season so far

Completed matches in the season being played. Kept separate from the historical block below.

  • Athletic Club1 matches
  • Sevilla2 matches

Previous-season context

Recorded season totals from the source competition. Not current form.

Both clubs played the same competition and season, so these values are directly comparable.

Athletic Club

Competition
La Liga
Season
2025/26
Sample
38 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
24 May 2026
  • Goals scored1.13 goals/match
  • Goals allowed1.53 goals/match
  • Expected goals1.33 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed1.12 xG/match
  • Shots13.7 shots/match
  • Shots allowed9.39 shots/match
  • Shots on target4.53 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed4.24 shots/match
  • Possession48.6%
  • Corners5.76 corners/match
  • Corners allowed3.84 corners/match
  • Cards2.45 cards/match
  • Fouls13.6 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency16%
  • Scoring frequency66%

Sevilla

Competition
La Liga
Season
2025/26
Sample
38 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
24 May 2026
  • Goals scored1.21 goals/match
  • Goals allowed1.58 goals/match
  • Expected goals1.02 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed1.49 xG/match
  • Shots11.5 shots/match
  • Shots allowed10.6 shots/match
  • Shots on target3.61 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed4.21 shots/match
  • Possession50.9%
  • Corners4.79 corners/match
  • Corners allowed4.55 corners/match
  • Cards3 cards/match
  • Fouls14.8 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency16%
  • Scoring frequency74%

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · UnavailableUnavailable — unavailable
Season samples1 / 2home / away teams
Recent samples1 / 2last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 22 Aug 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4