Inter 4–1 Monza · Serie A
This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.
Match at a glance
Inter won 4–1.
- Shots
- 13–7
- Shots on target
- 5–3
- Expected goals
- 1.05–1.23
- Possession
- 70%–30%
Full time
What the match recorded
Inter beat Monza 4–1. Recorded in this match (Inter – Monza): shots 13–7, shots on target 5–3, expected goals 1.05–1.23, possession 70%–30%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
This match
Match statistics
Every shot
Shot map
Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.
- off target
- on target
- goal
- penalty
- size = xG
Inter: 13 shots, 5 on target, 1.18 xG. Monza: 7 shots, 3 on target, 1.10 xG.
How the match built
Expected-goals timeline
Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.
The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Inter 1.18 xG · Monza 1.10 xG.
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
Season-opening preview
Current-season evidence is still building.
This competition's new season has only just started, so PitchMath does not yet hold enough completed matches for a current-season grade. The comparison below is last season's recorded data, shown as historical context.
1 / 2 matches toward the first current-season grade
Current season so far
Completed matches in the season being played. Kept separate from the historical block below.
- Inter1 matches
- Monza1 matches
Previous-season context
Recorded season totals from the source competition. Not current form.
These two clubs played in different competitions last season, so the values are shown side by side without ranking them against each other.
Inter
- Competition
- Serie A
- Season
- 2025/26
- Sample
- 38 matches
- Profile grade
- A
- Data cutoff
- 24 May 2026
- Goals scored2.34 goals/match
- Goals allowed0.92 goals/match
- Expected goals1.88 xG/match
- Expected goals allowed0.89 xG/match
- Shots17.1 shots/match
- Shots allowed9.13 shots/match
- Shots on target6 shots/match
- Shots on target allowed2.92 shots/match
- Possession59.8%
- Corners6.34 corners/match
- Corners allowed2.89 corners/match
- Cards1.62 cards/match
- Fouls13.1 fouls/match
- Clean-sheet frequency47%
- Scoring frequency95%
Monza
- Competition
- Serie A
- Season
- 2024/25
- Sample
- 38 matches
- Profile grade
- A
- Data cutoff
- 25 May 2025
- Goals scored0.74 goals/match
- Goals allowed1.82 goals/match
- Expected goals0.82 xG/match
- Expected goals allowed1.45 xG/match
- Shots8.84 shots/match
- Shots allowed14.8 shots/match
- Shots on target2.71 shots/match
- Shots on target allowed4.89 shots/match
- Possession48.4%
- Corners3.58 corners/match
- Corners allowed5.08 corners/match
- Fouls13.4 fouls/match
- Clean-sheet frequency8%
- Scoring frequency55%
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
- At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
- Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
- The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Inter
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