Serie A · 2026

Inter 4–1 Monza · Serie A

4–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Inter won 4–1.

Shots
137
Shots on target
53
Expected goals
1.051.23
Possession
70%30%

Full time

What the match recorded

Inter beat Monza 4–1. Recorded in this match (Inter – Monza): shots 13–7, shots on target 5–3, expected goals 1.05–1.23, possession 70%–30%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots7 shotsInter 13 shots, Monza 7 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsInter 5 shots, Monza 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.05 xG1.23 xGInter 1.05 xG, Monza 1.23 xG
  • Possession70%30%Inter 70%, Monza 30%
  • Corners3 corners3 cornersInter 3 corners, Monza 3 corners
  • Fouls5 fouls14 foulsInter 5 fouls, Monza 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsInter 2 cards, Monza 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Hakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 6′ · 0.01 xG · goalNicolò Barella · Inter · 26′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFederico Dimarco · Inter · 32′ · 0.03 xG · on targetNicolò Barella · Inter · 38′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMathis Mout · Monza · 41′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Galazzi · Monza · 78′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFrancesco Pio Esposito · Inter · 32′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGustavo Varela · Monza · 29′ · 0.05 xG · goalFrancesco Pio Esposito · Inter · 10′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedPiotr Zieliński · Inter · 48′ · 0.06 xG · goalManuel Akanji · Inter · 67′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAnge-Yoan Bonny · Inter · 66′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedYann Bisseck · Inter · 63′ · 0.10 xG · goalFrancesco Pio Esposito · Inter · 47′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedGustavo Varela · Monza · 40′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedFrancesco Pio Esposito · Inter · 55′ · 0.17 xG · goalRicardo Mangas · Monza · 50′ · 0.24 xG · on targetSamuele Birindelli · Monza · 76′ · 0.25 xG · on targetGustavo Varela · Monza · 31′ · 0.33 xG · off target or blockedFrancesco Pio Esposito · Inter · 90′ · 0.42 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Inter: 13 shots, 5 on target, 1.18 xG. Monza: 7 shots, 3 on target, 1.10 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Hakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 6′Piotr Zieliński · Inter · 48′Francesco Pio Esposito · Inter · 55′Yann Bisseck · Inter · 63′Gustavo Varela · Monza · 29′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Inter 1.18 xG · Monza 1.10 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Inter
1Draws
1Monza
Inter — Monza · Serie A3–2
Monza — Inter · Serie A1–1
Monza — Inter · Serie A1–5
Inter — Monza · Serie A2–0
Inter — Monza · Serie A0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Season-opening preview

Current-season evidence is still building.

This competition's new season has only just started, so PitchMath does not yet hold enough completed matches for a current-season grade. The comparison below is last season's recorded data, shown as historical context.

1 / 2 matches toward the first current-season grade

Current season so far

Completed matches in the season being played. Kept separate from the historical block below.

  • Inter1 matches
  • Monza1 matches

Previous-season context

Recorded season totals from the source competition. Not current form.

These two clubs played in different competitions last season, so the values are shown side by side without ranking them against each other.

Inter

Competition
Serie A
Season
2025/26
Sample
38 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
24 May 2026
  • Goals scored2.34 goals/match
  • Goals allowed0.92 goals/match
  • Expected goals1.88 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed0.89 xG/match
  • Shots17.1 shots/match
  • Shots allowed9.13 shots/match
  • Shots on target6 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed2.92 shots/match
  • Possession59.8%
  • Corners6.34 corners/match
  • Corners allowed2.89 corners/match
  • Cards1.62 cards/match
  • Fouls13.1 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency47%
  • Scoring frequency95%

Monza

Competition
Serie A
Season
2024/25
Sample
38 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
25 May 2025
  • Goals scored0.74 goals/match
  • Goals allowed1.82 goals/match
  • Expected goals0.82 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed1.45 xG/match
  • Shots8.84 shots/match
  • Shots allowed14.8 shots/match
  • Shots on target2.71 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed4.89 shots/match
  • Possession48.4%
  • Corners3.58 corners/match
  • Corners allowed5.08 corners/match
  • Fouls13.4 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency8%
  • Scoring frequency55%

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · UnavailableUnavailable — unavailable
Season samples1 / 1home / away teams
Recent samples1 / 1last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 22 Aug 2026, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4