Parma
Serie A · 2026Parma 0–1 Cagliari · Serie A
This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.
Match at a glance
Cagliari won 0–1.
- Shots
- 12–14
- Shots on target
- 2–5
- Expected goals
- 0.89–1
- Possession
- 47%–53%
Full time
What the match recorded
Cagliari beat Parma 1–0. Recorded in this match (Parma – Cagliari): shots 12–14, shots on target 2–5, expected goals 0.89–1, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
This match
Match statistics
Every shot
Shot map
Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.
- off target
- on target
- goal
- penalty
- size = xG
Parma: 12 shots, 2 on target, 0.92 xG. Cagliari: 14 shots, 5 on target, 0.98 xG.
How the match built
Expected-goals timeline
Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.
The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Parma 0.92 xG · Cagliari 0.98 xG.
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
Season-opening preview
Current-season evidence is still building.
This competition's new season has only just started, so PitchMath does not yet hold enough completed matches for a current-season grade. The comparison below is last season's recorded data, shown as historical context.
1 / 2 matches toward the first current-season grade
Current season so far
Completed matches in the season being played. Kept separate from the historical block below.
- Parma1 matches
- Cagliari1 matches
Previous-season context
Recorded season totals from the source competition. Not current form.
Both clubs played the same competition and season, so these values are directly comparable.
Parma
- Competition
- Serie A
- Season
- 2025/26
- Sample
- 38 matches
- Profile grade
- A
- Data cutoff
- 24 May 2026
- Goals scored0.74 goals/match
- Goals allowed1.21 goals/match
- Expected goals0.84 xG/match
- Expected goals allowed1.47 xG/match
- Shots10.7 shots/match
- Shots allowed14.2 shots/match
- Shots on target2.74 shots/match
- Shots on target allowed4.32 shots/match
- Possession44.1%
- Corners3.84 corners/match
- Corners allowed4.97 corners/match
- Cards2.03 cards/match
- Fouls10.9 fouls/match
- Clean-sheet frequency34%
- Scoring frequency58%
Cagliari
- Competition
- Serie A
- Season
- 2025/26
- Sample
- 38 matches
- Profile grade
- A
- Data cutoff
- 24 May 2026
- Goals scored1.05 goals/match
- Goals allowed1.39 goals/match
- Expected goals1 xG/match
- Expected goals allowed1.41 xG/match
- Shots10.9 shots/match
- Shots allowed12.9 shots/match
- Shots on target3.47 shots/match
- Shots on target allowed4.63 shots/match
- Possession45.6%
- Corners3.79 corners/match
- Corners allowed5.16 corners/match
- Cards2.52 cards/match
- Fouls13.8 fouls/match
- Clean-sheet frequency21%
- Scoring frequency63%
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
- At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
- Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
- The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
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