PitchMath
Serie A · 2026

Atalanta 2–1 Sassuolo · Serie A

2–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Atalanta won 2–1.

Shots
1422
Shots on target
78
Expected goals
0.712.73
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atalanta beat Sassuolo 2–1. Recorded in this match (Atalanta – Sassuolo): shots 14–22, shots on target 7–8, expected goals 0.71–2.73, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots22 shotsAtalanta 14 shots, Sassuolo 22 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots8 shotsAtalanta 7 shots, Sassuolo 8 shots
  • Expected goals0.71 xG2.73 xGAtalanta 0.71 xG, Sassuolo 2.73 xG
  • Possession56%44%Atalanta 56%, Sassuolo 44%
  • Corners4 corners4 cornersAtalanta 4 corners, Sassuolo 4 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls10 foulsAtalanta 9 fouls, Sassuolo 10 fouls
  • Passes596 passes462 passesAtalanta 596 passes, Sassuolo 462 passes
  • Pass accuracy91.3%90.5%Atalanta 91.3%, Sassuolo 90.5%
  • Shots inside box8 shots12 shotsAtalanta 8 shots, Sassuolo 12 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks5 blocksAtalanta 3 blocks, Sassuolo 5 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves7 saves5 savesAtalanta 7 saves, Sassuolo 5 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides1 offsideAtalanta 0 offsides, Sassuolo 1 offside

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Éderson · Atalanta · 19′ · 0.01 xG · on targetGianluca Gaetano · Atalanta · 45′ · 0.01 xG · on targetBenjamín Domínguez · Sassuolo · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJosh Doig · Sassuolo · 27′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedVasilije Adžić · Sassuolo · 27′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedArmand Laurienté · Sassuolo · 29′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedArmand Laurienté · Sassuolo · 30′ · 0.02 xG · on targetNemanja Matić · Sassuolo · 64′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCristian Volpato · Sassuolo · 65′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLazar Samardžić · Atalanta · 70′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedArmand Laurienté · Sassuolo · 73′ · 0.02 xG · on targetNikola Krstović · Atalanta · 78′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSimone Cinquegrano · Sassuolo · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDavide Zappacosta · Atalanta · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedArmand Laurienté · Sassuolo · 42′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedÉderson · Atalanta · 50′ · 0.03 xG · on targetKristian Thorstvedt · Sassuolo · 71′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDavide Zappacosta · Atalanta · 25′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKristian Thorstvedt · Sassuolo · 69′ · 0.04 xG · on targetNikola Krstović · Atalanta · 82′ · 0.04 xG · on targetGiorgio Scalvini · Atalanta · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedVasilije Adžić · Sassuolo · 40′ · 0.05 xG · on targetCristian Volpato · Sassuolo · 43′ · 0.05 xG · on targetKieron Bowie · Sassuolo · 10′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGiacomo Raspadori · Atalanta · 52′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGiacomo Raspadori · Atalanta · 6′ · 0.07 xG · goalGiacomo Raspadori · Atalanta · 18′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDarryl Bakola · Sassuolo · 25′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedVasilije Adžić · Sassuolo · 36′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedArmand Laurienté · Sassuolo · 60′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedNicola Zalewski · Atalanta · 10′ · 0.13 xG · on targetNikola Krstović · Atalanta · 65′ · 0.13 xG · goalArmand Laurienté · Sassuolo · 50′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedKieron Bowie · Sassuolo · 32′ · 0.53 xG · off target or blockedCas Odenthal · Sassuolo · 55′ · 0.62 xG · goalVasilije Adžić · Sassuolo · 31′ · 0.64 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Atalanta: 14 shots, 7 on target, 0.69 xG. Sassuolo: 22 shots, 8 on target, 2.65 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Giacomo Raspadori · Atalanta · 6′Nikola Krstović · Atalanta · 65′Cas Odenthal · Sassuolo · 55′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Atalanta 0.69 xG · Sassuolo 2.65 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Atalanta
0Draws
3Sassuolo
Sassuolo — Atalanta · Serie A2–1
Atalanta — Sassuolo · Serie A0–3
Atalanta — Sassuolo · Serie A3–0
Sassuolo — Atalanta · Serie A0–2
Sassuolo — Atalanta · Serie A1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Season-opening preview

Current-season evidence is still building.

This competition's new season has only just started, so PitchMath does not yet hold enough completed matches for a current-season grade. The comparison below is last season's recorded data, shown as historical context.

1 / 2 matches toward the first current-season grade

Current season so far

Completed matches in the season being played. Kept separate from the historical block below.

  • Atalanta1 matches
  • Sassuolo1 matches

Previous-season context

Recorded season totals from the source competition. Not current form.

Both clubs played the same competition and season, so these values are directly comparable.

Atalanta

Competition
Serie A
Season
2025/26
Sample
38 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
24 May 2026
  • Goals scored1.34 goals/match
  • Goals allowed0.95 goals/match
  • Expected goals1.52 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed1.12 xG/match
  • Shots14.8 shots/match
  • Shots allowed11.8 shots/match
  • Shots on target4.61 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed4 shots/match
  • Possession55.1%
  • Corners5.66 corners/match
  • Corners allowed4.16 corners/match
  • Cards1.64 cards/match
  • Fouls11.8 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency34%
  • Scoring frequency79%

Sassuolo

Competition
Serie A
Season
2025/26
Sample
38 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
24 May 2026
  • Goals scored1.21 goals/match
  • Goals allowed1.32 goals/match
  • Expected goals1.11 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed1.46 xG/match
  • Shots10.7 shots/match
  • Shots allowed14.4 shots/match
  • Shots on target3.76 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed4.95 shots/match
  • Possession46.1%
  • Corners3.76 corners/match
  • Corners allowed4.89 corners/match
  • Cards2.41 cards/match
  • Fouls12 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency21%
  • Scoring frequency68%

How competition percentiles work

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · UnavailableUnavailable — unavailable
Season samples1 / 1home / away teams
Recent samples1 / 1last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 23 Aug 2026, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsAtalantaSassuolo
CompetitionSerie A
Head-to-headAtalanta — Sassuolo
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this